Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kedus Giorgis play Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 2 December 2025 at 13:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Kedus Giorgis: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kedus Giorgis scores 0.89 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kedus Giorgis 32%, Arba Minch Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Kedus Giorgis 24%, Arba Minch Kenema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.12. Kedus Giorgis: 8.0 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3.

Match halves

Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.35. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39.

Goals by minute

Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (9 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
10Shots6
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
2Shots on target1
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
1.37xG1.07
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
3Corners2
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
83Dangerous attacks85
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
14Fouls20
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0Cards0
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.89Goals scored / match0.79
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.84Goals conceded / match1.21
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
48%Average possession49%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
2.97Shots on target / match2.29
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.95Shots per match7.26
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
2.97Shots on target2.29
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
11.2%Shot conversion10.9%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
48%Possession49%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
1.22xG for1.12
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
1.05xG against1.2
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

Shooting quality

Kedus Giorgis: BalancedArba Minch Kenema: Balanced
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)37%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kedus Giorgis is 117% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.2 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema

Kedus Giorgis
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W30% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-11-12
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-6-4
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Arba Minch Kenema
WWLLL
Season result split
18% W37% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-14-17
0.92 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-7-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kedus Giorgis is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

0.89 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.79 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema

Kedus Giorgis is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.84 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema

Kedus Giorgis scoring profile: strong

Kedus Giorgis scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).

Arba Minch Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).

33Goals scored (season)30
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
31Goals conceded (season)46
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
1.73Average goals in match2
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
8Goals scored (last 5)5
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal53%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
19%2 goals26%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
8%3 goals0%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
3%4 goals0%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal71%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
16%2 goals32%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
5%3 goals16%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0%4 goals3%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
Arba Minch Kenema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 38 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time11%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
8%Scored in both halves16%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

BTTS and goal count

16%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
40%BTTS - last 540%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

2nd half

59%Min. 1 goal after half-time58%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kedus Giorgis is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema

Kedus Giorgis - half-time state
32% leading49% draw19% trailing
Arba Minch Kenema - half-time state
24% leading34% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per match (1st half)1.05
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.39
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.92Average goals (1st half)1.03
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
65%Clean sheet before half-time53%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
59%No goal before half-time66%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.16Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.35Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.81Average goals (2nd half)0.97
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
65%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
73%No goal after half-time66%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

Kedus Giorgis - second-half results

24% W43% R32% P
54
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results

18% W55% R26% P
40
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kedus Giorgis - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match1.60.4
1 goal100%20%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal0%80%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Arba Minch Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kedus Giorgis
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
7
4
16-30
9
8
31-45
2
9
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Arba Minch Kenema
ScoredConceded
3
9
0-15
4
9
16-30
8
6
31-45
5
8
46-60
2
4
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.86
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
37%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+114%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kedus Giorgis

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Arba Minch Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Kedus GiorgisLigaArba Minch Kenema
Average goals in match 1.731.78 2.00
Both teams scored 32%40% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 24%28% 29%
Clean sheets 38%40% 29%
Goal before half-time 59%56% 71%
Goal after half-time 59%59% 58%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Kedus Giorgis 0 - 1 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Kedus Giorgis 1:0 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Kedus Giorgis score 0.89 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Kedus Giorgis's matches and 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's.

What form are Kedus Giorgis and Arba Minch Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Kedus Giorgis have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema?

The statistical background for Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.