Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl: match statistics
Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kedus Giorgis play Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 8 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Kedus Giorgis: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kedus Giorgis scores 0.89 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.84 and concedes 0.68. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kedus Giorgis 32%, Mebrat Hayl 37%. Over 2.5: Kedus Giorgis 24%, Mebrat Hayl 26%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.12. Kedus Giorgis: 8.0 shots per match, Mebrat Hayl: 7.0.
Match halves
Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.35. Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (9 goals). Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Mebrat Hayl sit 4th in the table while Kedus Giorgis are 17th. In the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 8 goals and averaged 2.0 points per game, whereas the hosts have managed only 2 goals and 0.8 points per game. Defensively Kedus concede on average 0.64 goals per home match and keep 45% clean sheets, but in their last five fixtures the hosts have conceded as many as 7 goals, while Mebrat have conceded only 3. Kedus nevertheless create slightly better chances at home: average xG 1.33 per match, 8.82 shots and 2.55 shots on target, versus Mebrat’s xG 1.18, 7.33 shots and 2.08 shots on target, with comparable conversion rates of 9% versus 10%. The visitors show better form and efficiency recently (3 wins and 1 draw in the last 5) and a higher league position, which together with the recent goal balance (8 vs 2) gives them a clear advantage. Taking into account the form advantage, goals scored in the last 5 matches and league position, I forecast an away win, although the hosts’ higher xG and superior defensive organisation at home reduce the likelihood of a loss to a possible draw or narrow defeat.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kedus Giorgis | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kedus Giorgis is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kedus Giorgis is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.84 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Mebrat Hayl is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.68 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Kedus Giorgis scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kedus Giorgis
Over / Under — Mebrat Hayl
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kedus Giorgis is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.29 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kedus Giorgis
Mebrat Hayl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kedus Giorgis | Liga | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.73 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 40% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kedus Giorgis 0 - 0 - 1 Mebrat Hayl. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Kedus Giorgis 2:1 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?
Kedus Giorgis score 0.89 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 0.84. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Kedus Giorgis's matches and 37% of Mebrat Hayl's.
What form are Kedus Giorgis and Mebrat Hayl in?
Over the last 5 games Kedus Giorgis have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kedus Giorgis vs Mebrat Hayl?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.