Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema: match statistics

Kedus Giorgis crest
Kedus Giorgis
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Mekelle Kenema crest
Mekelle Kenema

Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kedus Giorgis play Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Kedus Giorgis: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kedus Giorgis scores 0.89 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kedus Giorgis 32%, Mekelle Kenema 37%. Over 2.5: Kedus Giorgis 24%, Mekelle Kenema 34%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.10. Kedus Giorgis: 8.0 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 6.4.

Match halves

Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.35. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (9 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Kedus Giorgis holds a slight home advantage in this tie: average xG for the hosts is 1.27 versus 1.09 for Mekelle, average shots 8.36 vs 6.20, and average shots on target 2.43 vs 2.27. In attack the hosts score 0.87 goals per home match (24 goals this season; 4 in the last 5), while Mekelle averages 0.67 goals on the road (25 goals this season; 6 in the last 5). In the last 5 matches Kedus are 1-2-2 while the visitors are 2-1-2; the visitors have averaged 1.4 points in those 5 matches versus 1.0 for the hosts. Both teams have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches, with average goals conceded 0.73 per home match for the hosts and 0.80 for the visitors away, indicating a similar defensive level. Kedus’s key edge is a lower share of matches without scoring — 40% at home versus 60% for Mekelle away — and a higher league position (12th vs 19th), which increases their chances of maintaining the advantage. Considering the higher xG, more chances created and lower tendency to fail to score, I tip the home win; suggested probabilities are 55% for 1, 25% for a draw and 20% for 2.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
9Shots3
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
5Shots on target1
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
1.15xG0.47
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
4Corners3
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
31Dangerous attacks27
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
21Fouls14
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
0Cards0
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
0.89Goals scored / match0.79
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
0.84Goals conceded / match0.95
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
48%Average possession49%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
2.97Shots on target / match2.42
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.95Shots per match6.37
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
2.97Shots on target2.42
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
11.2%Shot conversion12.4%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
48%Possession49%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
1.22xG for1.1
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
1.05xG against1.17
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema

Shooting quality

Kedus Giorgis: BalancedMekelle Kenema: Balanced
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)37%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kedus Giorgis is 117% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.2 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema

Kedus Giorgis
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W30% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-11-12
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-6-4
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Mekelle Kenema
DDDLW
Season result split
21% W45% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-17-13
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-7-8
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kedus Giorgis is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

0.89 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.79 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema

Kedus Giorgis is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.84 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.95 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema

Kedus Giorgis scoring profile: mixed

Kedus Giorgis scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).

Mekelle Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Mekelle Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).

33Goals scored (season)30
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
31Goals conceded (season)36
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
1.73Average goals in match1.74
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
8Goals scored (last 5)3
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
2Goals conceded (last 5)3
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal53%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
19%2 goals21%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
8%3 goals5%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
3%4 goals0%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal61%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
16%2 goals26%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
5%3 goals8%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time11%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
8%Scored in both halves16%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema

BTTS and goal count

16%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
40%BTTS - last 50%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema

2nd half

59%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kedus Giorgis is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.16 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema

Kedus Giorgis - half-time state
32% leading49% draw19% trailing
Mekelle Kenema - half-time state
21% leading53% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per match (1st half)1.16
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.37
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
0.92Average goals (1st half)0.76
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
65%Clean sheet before half-time66%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
59%No goal before half-time68%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.16Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
0.35Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
0.81Average goals (2nd half)0.97
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
65%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema
73%No goal after half-time63%
Kedus GiorgisMekelle Kenema

Kedus Giorgis - second-half results

24% W43% R32% P
54
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mekelle Kenema - second-half results

18% W55% R26% P
44
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kedus Giorgis - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match1.60.4
1 goal100%20%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal0%80%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Mekelle Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kedus Giorgis
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
7
4
16-30
9
8
31-45
2
9
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Mekelle Kenema
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
8
5
16-30
3
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
2
5
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.73
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kedus Giorgis

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Mekelle Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Kedus GiorgisLigaMekelle Kenema
Average goals in match 1.731.78 1.74
Both teams scored 32%40% 37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 24%28% 34%
Clean sheets 38%40% 39%
Goal before half-time 59%56% 55%
Goal after half-time 59%59% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Kedus Giorgis 0 - 1 - 0 Mekelle Kenema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Kedus Giorgis 1:0 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?

Kedus Giorgis score 0.89 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Kedus Giorgis's matches and 37% of Mekelle Kenema's.

What form are Kedus Giorgis and Mekelle Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Kedus Giorgis have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.