Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics
Kedus Giorgis presents a solid disposition in home matches, where they achieve 38% wins and maintain an impressive 50% clean sheets, evidencing a stable defense. The hosts have the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.34 vs 1.09), indicating the creation of better scoring situations at their own stadium. Welwalo Adigrat Uni occupies the penultimate place in the table and wins only 25% of cases in away matches, with a simultaneous 50% rate of matches without a scored goal. Despite the hosts' weaker form in the last five meetings (0.8 PPG), their home record and clear advantage in expected goals over the guests speak for their victory. Given the difference in class between the teams and Kedus Giorgis' home statistics, their triumph is expected, though the form of both teams may lead to an even meeting with the possibility of a draw.
Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kedus Giorgis played against Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on February 5, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Kedus Giorgis has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Welwalo Adigrat Uni has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Kedus Giorgis scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 0.72. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.63 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 1.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 28% of Kedus Giorgis's games and 47% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's. The Over 2.5 rates are 11% and 32%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kedus Giorgis has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.00 per game. Kedus Giorgis takes 9.1 shots per game, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni takes 5.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Kedus Giorgis leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Welwalo Adigrat Uni leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.26 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kedus Giorgis's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Welwalo Adigrat Uni, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.70 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kedus Giorgis presents a solid disposition in home matches, where they achieve 38% wins and maintain an impressive 50% clean sheets, evidencing a stable defense. The hosts have the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.34 vs 1.09), indicating the creation of better scoring situations at their own stadium. Welwalo Adigrat Uni occupies the penultimate place in the table and wins only 25% of cases in away matches, with a simultaneous 50% rate of matches without a scored goal. Despite the hosts' weaker form in the last five meetings (0.8 PPG), their home record and clear advantage in expected goals over the guests speak for their victory. Given the difference in class between the teams and Kedus Giorgis' home statistics, their triumph is expected, though the form of both teams may lead to an even meeting with the possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kedus Giorgis | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Kedus Giorgis · 1.2 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kedus Giorgis is 32% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Kedus Giorgis · 0.63 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Kedus Giorgis is 68% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.72 goals / game - Kedus Giorgis · 1.21 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Kedus Giorgis scores in 56% of games (10 of 18 meczów), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 53% of games (10 of 19 meczów), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kedus Giorgis
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kedus Giorgis is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / game - Kedus Giorgis · 1.21 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 16%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kedus Giorgis
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kedus Giorgis | Liga | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.56 | 1.70 | ▲ 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 28% | 41% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▲ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 41% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 61% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Kedus GiorgisGoalFitsum Tilahun
FAQ
What was the result of Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Kedus Giorgis 1:1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Kedus Giorgis score 0.83 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.63. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 28% of Kedus Giorgis's matches and 47% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.
What form are Kedus Giorgis and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?
Over the last 5 games Kedus Giorgis have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The statistical background for Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.