Keflavík vs Thór: match statistics
Keflavík vs Thór: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Keflavík played against Thór in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The game was played on May 22, 2026. Venue: Nettóvöllurinn. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Keflavík has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Thór has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Keflavík scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 1.71. Thór scores 0.86 and allows 2.71. Games in this league average 3.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 86% of Keflavík's games and 43% of Thór's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 71%, compared with league averages of 74% for BTTS and 74% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Keflavík has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.27 per game. Keflavík takes 14.1 shots per game, while Thór takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Keflavík leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Thór leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Keflavík's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Thór, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Úrvalsdeild games average 3.88 goals. Both teams score in 74% of games, and 74% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Keflavík has scored 10 goals this season and 7 in the last 5 games, averaging 1.6 points per match in that period, while Thór has only 6 goals this season and 2 in the last 5, with 0.6 pts per match. Defensively the visitors are highly vulnerable — Thór concedes an average of 4.0 goals away (19 conceded this season) and has an average xG against of 2.76, whereas Keflavík concede 1.33 at home and have xG against 1.47. The hosts generate more high-quality chances: 14.67 average shots and 5 on target per home match and an average xG of 1.61 versus 1.17 for Thór away; additionally Thór have no clean sheets on the road and failed to score in 50% of away matches. Considering the advantage in xG, shot volume and better form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts in the last 5), I give Keflavík a 60% chance, draw 25% and Thór 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I suggest BTTS - Yes with a 64% probability versus 36% for No, because the league has a high BTTS rate at 74% and an average of 3.88 goals per match. Keflavík has BTTS 80% in the last 5 matches, scoring on average 1.4 goals (xG 1.76) and conceding 1.2 goals in those five games, which increases the likelihood of exchanged goals. Thór has serious defensive issues: they concede on average 4.0 goals away this season, 19 goals conceded in total and xG_against 2.76 with 0% clean sheets, so opponents regularly create and convert chances. Although Thór has been poor in attack recently (2 goals in the last 5, average 0.4 and BTTS 20% in the last 5), the season xG_for of 1.17 and a higher shot conversion 10% vs 5% for Keflavík give a realistic chance of them scoring, therefore I prefer 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model estimates approximately 2.08 expected goals for Keflavík and 1.48 for Thór, totaling 3.56 goals. These values stem from xG and defensive metrics: Keflavík has xG_for 1.4 and 4.67 shots on target, while Thór has xG_against 2.76 and concedes on average 4.0 goals per match this season (13 conceded in the last 5, i.e. 2.6 per match). League context confirms a high-scoring tendency — the league average is 3.88 goals per match, 74% of matches finish Over 2.5 goals, and Thór has 100% of their matches Over 2.5 this season. Additionally, Keflavík scored 7 goals in the last 5 matches (1.4 per match) and has a recent xG of 1.76, whereas Thór scored only 2 goals in the last 5 (0.4 per match), suggesting most goals should come from the home side against the visitors' weak defense. Based on this, the strongest signal from the data is a play on Over 2.5 — the 3.56 expected goals and the high percentage of Over 2.5 matches in the league and for Thór favor the over side.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Keflavík leading at half-time and winning the match). Thór concedes on average 4.0 goals per match and 1.75 goals before the break, and conceded a total of 7 goals in minutes 0–45 (2 in 0–15, 4 in 16–30 and 1 in 31–45), indicating vulnerability from the visitors already before half-time. Keflavík creates more chances: the home xG is 1.40 versus Thór’s 1.17, with an average of 12.33 shots and 4.67 on target compared to the visitors’ 10.5 shots and 3.25 on target, so the creative advantage is clear. In the last 5 matches the home side led at the break in 40% of games, while the visitors were losing at half-time in 60% of cases, and the home team’s average points at half-time in those 5 matches is 1.8 versus 0.4 for Thór, which reinforces the scenario of Keflavík taking the lead and maintaining the win (HT/FT).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Keflavík | Thór | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Keflavík is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Keflavík · 0.6 pts / game - Thór
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Keflavík is 66% better for: goals scored per game.
1.43 goals / game - Keflavík · 0.86 goals / game - Thór
Keflavík is 58% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Keflavík · 2.71 goals / game - Thór
Keflavík scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Thór keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
Thór scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 meczów), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Keflavík
Over / Under - Thór
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Keflavík is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / game - Keflavík · 0.43 pts / game - Thór
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Keflavík - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Thór - second-half results
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Keflavík
Thór
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Keflavík | Liga | Thór | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.14 | 3.88 | ▼ 3.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Clean sheets | • 14% | 14% | • 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 86% | 91% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Keflavík vs Thór?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Keflavík 1:0 Thór. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Keflavík vs Thór?
Keflavík score 1.43 goals per game on average and Thór 0.86. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Keflavík's matches and 43% of Thór's.
What form are Keflavík and Thór in?
Over the last 5 games Keflavík have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Thór 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Keflavík vs Thór?
The statistical background for Keflavík vs Thór — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.