Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic: match statistics
Alloa Athletic clearly dominates this matchup across all key metrics. Hosts Kelty Hearts display disastrous home form, recording an 89% loss rate and zero wins on home soil, while conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game against a mere 0.44 scored. Their streak of nine consecutive home defeats and a -20 goal difference in home fixtures highlight massive defensive and offensive deficiencies. Conversely, Alloa Athletic sits second in the table with a solid away record (44% win rate), an 11% shot conversion rate, and just 0.67 goals conceded per away game. The visitors also hold the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.27 vs 0.97 for the hosts) and maintain a 44% clean sheet rate on the road. Despite a dip in form over the last five matches, Alloa Athletic's quality and stability should translate into a victory over one of the league's weakest sides.
Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kelty Hearts played against Alloa Athletic in League One (Scotland). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Kelty Hearts has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Alloa Athletic has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Kelty Hearts scores 0.95 goals per game and allows 2.21. Alloa Athletic scores 1.16 and allows 0.58. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Kelty Hearts's games and 21% of Alloa Athletic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 74% and 32%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Alloa Athletic has the higher season xG average, 1.16 to 0.96 per game. Kelty Hearts takes 6.7 shots per game, while Alloa Athletic takes 8.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.37 goals per game after halftime. Alloa Athletic leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kelty Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Alloa Athletic, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alloa Athletic clearly dominates this matchup across all key metrics. Hosts Kelty Hearts display disastrous home form, recording an 89% loss rate and zero wins on home soil, while conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game against a mere 0.44 scored. Their streak of nine consecutive home defeats and a -20 goal difference in home fixtures highlight massive defensive and offensive deficiencies. Conversely, Alloa Athletic sits second in the table with a solid away record (44% win rate), an 11% shot conversion rate, and just 0.67 goals conceded per away game. The visitors also hold the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.27 vs 0.97 for the hosts) and maintain a 44% clean sheet rate on the road. Despite a dip in form over the last five matches, Alloa Athletic's quality and stability should translate into a victory over one of the league's weakest sides.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kelty Hearts | Alloa Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Alloa Athletic is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Kelty Hearts · 1 pts / game - Alloa Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alloa Athletic is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
0.95 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.16 goals / game - Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic is 281% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.21 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 0.58 goals / game - Alloa Athletic
Kelty Hearts scores in 63% of games (12 of 19 meczów), while Alloa Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 53% (10 of 19 meczów).
Alloa Athletic scores in 58% of games (11 of 19 meczów), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
Over / Under - Alloa Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alloa Athletic is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.32 pts / game - Alloa Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 16%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Alloa Athletic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kelty Hearts
Alloa Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Kelty Hearts | Liga | Alloa Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.16 | 2.55 | ▼ 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 41% | ▼ 21% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 52% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 32% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 72% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Kelty Hearts's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Alloa Athletic. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic?
The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 1:1 Alloa Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Alloa Athletic?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 0, Alloa Athletic won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic?
Kelty Hearts score 0.95 goals per game on average and Alloa Athletic 1.16. The League One average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 21% of Alloa Athletic's.
What form are Kelty Hearts and Alloa Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Alloa Athletic 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.