Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kelty Hearts plays Annan Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The game is scheduled for September 5, 2026.
Recent form
Kelty Hearts has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Annan Athletic has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Kelty Hearts scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 2.00. Annan Athletic scores 1.20 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Kelty Hearts's games and 40% of Annan Athletic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 40%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Annan Athletic has the higher season xG average, 1.09 to 1.02 per game. Kelty Hearts takes 6.6 shots per game, while Annan Athletic takes 7.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Annan Athletic leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kelty Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Annan Athletic, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kelty Hearts | Annan Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 67% | 57% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kelty Hearts is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.2 goals / game - Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.4 goals / game - Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while Annan Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).
Annan Athletic scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
Over / Under - Annan Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Annan Athletic is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.4 pts / game - Annan Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Annan Athletic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kelty Hearts
Annan Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Kelty Hearts | Liga | Annan Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.40 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 48% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 60% | 60% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Kelty Hearts and Annan Athletic play?
Kelty Hearts face Annan Athletic on September 5, 2026 in League Two. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic?
Kelty Hearts score 1.40 goals per game on average and Annan Athletic 1.20. The League Two average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 40% of Annan Athletic's.
What form are Kelty Hearts and Annan Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Annan Athletic 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


