Scotland - League TwoData current as of October 14, 2026

Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kelty Hearts plays Forfar Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026.

Recent form

Kelty Hearts has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Forfar Athletic has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Kelty Hearts scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 2.00. Forfar Athletic scores 1.00 and allows 1.70. Games in this league average 3.46 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 70% of Kelty Hearts's games and 50% of Forfar Athletic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 60%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Forfar Athletic has the higher season xG average, 1.15 to 1.03 per game. Kelty Hearts takes 7.6 shots per game, while Forfar Athletic takes 8.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Forfar Athletic leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.40 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kelty Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Forfar Athletic, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 3.46 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.85)
(3.65)
(3.60)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
1.4Goals scored / game1
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
2Goals allowed / game1.7
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
49%Average possession51%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
4Shots on target / game4.1
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

7.6Shots per game8.6
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
4Shots on target4.1
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
18.4%Shot conversion11.6%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
49%Possession51%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
1.03xG for1.15
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
1.31xG against1.22
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic

Shooting quality

Kelty Hearts: Efficient finishingForfar Athletic: Balanced
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
Accuracy (shots on target)53%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Kelty Hearts is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Kelty Hearts · 0.6 pts / game - Forfar Athletic

Kelty Hearts
WLLWL
Season result split
40% W0% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-6
1.20 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Forfar Athletic
LLWLL
Season result split
30% W20% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-5
1.10 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-3
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kelty Hearts is 40% better for: goals scored per game.

1.4 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 1 goals / game - Forfar Athletic

Forfar Athletic is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.7 goals / game - Forfar Athletic

Kelty Hearts scoring profile: very strong

Kelty Hearts scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).

Forfar Athletic scoring profile: very strong

Forfar Athletic scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).

14Goals scored (season)10
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
20Goals conceded (season)17
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
3.4Average goals per game2.7
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
7Goals scored (last 5)4
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
10Goals conceded (last 5)12
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
40%2 goals10%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
20%3 goals10%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
0%4 goals0%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal70%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
60%2 goals50%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
30%3 goals30%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
20%4 goals10%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
40%Scored in both halves10%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic

BTTS and goal count

70%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS30%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
80%BTTS - last 560%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kelty Hearts is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.4 pts / game - Forfar Athletic

Kelty Hearts - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing
Forfar Athletic - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.4
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
0.9Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
1.6Average goals (1st half)1.4
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
40%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
50%No goal before half-time50%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per game (2nd half)0.8
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
1.1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
1.8Average goals (2nd half)1.3
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
50%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
30%No goal after half-time60%
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic

Kelty Hearts - second-half results

30% W30% D40% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 40%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Forfar Athletic - second-half results

10% W50% D40% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kelty Hearts - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.40
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.42.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Forfar Athletic - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.40
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game1.01.4
Average goals per game1.41.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kelty Hearts
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
3
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
3
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Forfar Athletic
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
3
5
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.05
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kelty Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Forfar Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Kelty HeartsLigaForfar Athletic
Average goals per game• 3.403.46▼ 2.70
Both teams scored▲ 70%58%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 70%66%▼ 60%
Clean sheets▼ 10%22%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%84%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%86%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.46
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.96
Home goals / game
1.50
Away goals / game
+31%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defensive advantage
+28%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
16%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Kelty Hearts's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Forfar Athletic. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Kelty Hearts and Forfar Athletic play?

Kelty Hearts face Forfar Athletic on October 17, 2026 in League Two. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic?

Kelty Hearts score 1.40 goals per game on average and Forfar Athletic 1.00. The League Two average is 3.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 50% of Forfar Athletic's.

What form are Kelty Hearts and Forfar Athletic in?

Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Forfar Athletic 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.