Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir: match statistics
Stenhousemuir is the decisive favorite for this encounter, sitting in 2nd place in the table with impressive form—4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. Kelty Hearts presents dramatic form, sitting in 10th position with an 80% loss rate at home and without a single win in home matches this season. The visitors have conceded just 1 goal in the last 5 matches, keeping 40% clean sheets away, while the hosts concede an average of 2.5 goals per home match. The difference in offensive quality is also clear—Stenhousemuir has better shot conversion (11% vs 7%) and higher xG (1.1 vs 0.98). Kelty Hearts failed to score in 60% of home matches, which, with a goal difference of -20 at home, makes them a very weak opponent for the group leader playing confidently.
Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kelty Hearts played against Stenhousemuir in League One (Scotland). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Kelty Hearts has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Stenhousemuir has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Kelty Hearts scores 0.95 goals per game and allows 2.19. Stenhousemuir scores 1.29 and allows 0.76. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Kelty Hearts's games and 38% of Stenhousemuir's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 38%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Stenhousemuir has the higher season xG average, 1.18 to 0.95 per game. Kelty Hearts takes 6.8 shots per game, while Stenhousemuir takes 8.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Stenhousemuir leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.76 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kelty Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Stenhousemuir, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stenhousemuir is the decisive favorite for this encounter, sitting in 2nd place in the table with impressive form—4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. Kelty Hearts presents dramatic form, sitting in 10th position with an 80% loss rate at home and without a single win in home matches this season. The visitors have conceded just 1 goal in the last 5 matches, keeping 40% clean sheets away, while the hosts concede an average of 2.5 goals per home match. The difference in offensive quality is also clear—Stenhousemuir has better shot conversion (11% vs 7%) and higher xG (1.1 vs 0.98). Kelty Hearts failed to score in 60% of home matches, which, with a goal difference of -20 at home, makes them a very weak opponent for the group leader playing confidently.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kelty Hearts | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 53% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Stenhousemuir is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Kelty Hearts · 2 pts / game - Stenhousemuir
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stenhousemuir is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
0.95 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.29 goals / game - Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir is 188% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.19 goals / game - Kelty Hearts · 0.76 goals / game - Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 meczów).
Stenhousemuir scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
Over / Under - Stenhousemuir
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stenhousemuir is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Kelty Hearts · 1.38 pts / game - Stenhousemuir
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Stenhousemuir - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kelty Hearts
Stenhousemuir
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Kelty Hearts | Liga | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.14 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 32% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Kelty Hearts's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Stenhousemuir. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir?
The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 0:2 Stenhousemuir. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Stenhousemuir?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 0, Stenhousemuir won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir?
Kelty Hearts score 0.95 goals per game on average and Stenhousemuir 1.29. The League One average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 38% of Stenhousemuir's.
What form are Kelty Hearts and Stenhousemuir in?
Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Stenhousemuir 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.