England - National LeagueAggborough StadiumData current as of October 15, 2026

Kidderminster Harriers vs Sutton United: match statistics

Kidderminster Harriers vs Sutton United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kidderminster Harriers played against Sutton United in National League (England). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Aggborough Stadium. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Kidderminster Harriers has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Sutton United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Kidderminster Harriers scores 1.27 goals per game and allows 1.00. Sutton United scores 1.18 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 3.07 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 45% of Kidderminster Harriers's games and 36% of Sutton United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 45%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Sutton United has the higher season xG average, 1.26 to 1.09 per game. Kidderminster Harriers takes 7.1 shots per game, while Sutton United takes 8.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Kidderminster Harriers leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Sutton United leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.64 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kidderminster Harriers's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Sutton United, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National League games average 3.07 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Kidderminster sit 6th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while 10th-placed Sutton have recorded 2 wins over the same period. The strongest case for the hosts is their defense: they have conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, compared with 7 for the visitors, and average 0.5 goals conceded per home match. Their home xG stands at 1.30, with 0.93 xG conceded to opponents, while Sutton average 1.27 xG away from home and allow opponents 1.34. The visitors remain a threat, averaging 1.25 goals away compared with the hosts' 1.00 at home, but Kidderminster's stronger defense points to a narrow home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal in favor of BTTS - No is Kidderminster’s defensive form: in their last 5 matches, the hosts conceded an average of just 0.4 goals, and both teams scored in only 20% of those games. Sutton kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while Kidderminster failed to score in 33%, so the hosts could also draw a blank. Both sides do have attacking potential, however: their average xG figures are 1.36 and 1.27, respectively, and Sutton had BTTS - Yes in 60% of their last 5 appearances. This limits confidence in the prediction, but Kidderminster’s recent defensive solidity and Sutton’s frequent clean sheets tip the assessment towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 83% of Kidderminster's matches and 100% of Sutton's matches in the statistics considered. The teams average 1.33 and 1.25 goals scored respectively, while their average xG figures of 1.36 and 1.27 do not indicate a clear attacking advantage for either side. Kidderminster conceded just 0.4 goals per game across their last five matches, while Sutton kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. The forecast of 2.42 total goals gives Under 3.5 a clearer edge than the more evenly balanced 2.5-goal line.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Kidderminster were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while Sutton averaged just 0.25 goals before half-time in away games and kept a clean sheet at the break in 75% of them. After the break, the hosts’ current form may carry more weight: over their last five matches, they averaged 2.0 points compared with Sutton’s 1.6, and conceded 0.4 goals compared with their opponents’ 1.4. Over the same period, Kidderminster averaged 0.8 goals after half-time, while Sutton conceded 1.25 goals in second halves. Therefore, the pick is X/1, although the visitors’ edge in second halves across the season—averaging 1.0 goals scored compared with the hosts’ 0.5—limits confidence in this prediction.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

50Possession (%)50
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
5Shots8
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
3Shots on target7
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
1.11xG1.68
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
0Corners5
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
79Dangerous attacks93
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
-1Fouls-1
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
1Cards1
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
1.27Goals scored / game1.18
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
1Goals allowed / game1.36
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
49%Average possession49%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
2.73Shots on target / game3.64
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

7.09Shots per game8
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
2.73Shots on target3.64
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
17.9%Shot conversion14.8%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
49%Possession49%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
1.09xG for1.26
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
1.31xG against1.16
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United

Shooting quality

Kidderminster Harriers: Efficient finishingSutton United: Efficient finishing
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
Accuracy (shots on target)39%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.470.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Kidderminster Harriers is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Kidderminster Harriers · 1 pts / game - Sutton United

Kidderminster Harriers
WWDLL
Season result split
45% W27% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-3
1.64 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DDWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Sutton United
LWDDL
Season result split
45% W18% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-4
1.55 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kidderminster Harriers is 8% better for: goals scored per game.

1.27 goals / game - Kidderminster Harriers · 1.18 goals / game - Sutton United

Kidderminster Harriers is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Kidderminster Harriers · 1.36 goals / game - Sutton United

Kidderminster Harriers scoring profile: very strong

Kidderminster Harriers scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 games), while Sutton United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 games).

Sutton United scoring profile: strong

Sutton United scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 games), while Kidderminster Harriers keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 games).

14Goals scored (season)13
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
11Goals conceded (season)15
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
2.27Average goals per game2.55
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
4Goals scored (last 5)6
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
4Goals conceded (last 5)9
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal64%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
27%2 goals36%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
18%3 goals18%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
9%4 goals0%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal73%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
18%2 goals45%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
18%3 goals18%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
0%4 goals0%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

45%
Kidderminster Harriers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 11 games
64%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time9%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
18%Scored in both halves9%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
20%BTTS - last 560%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sutton United is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / game - Kidderminster Harriers · 1.36 pts / game - Sutton United

Kidderminster Harriers - half-time state
27% leading45% draw27% trailing
Sutton United - half-time state
36% leading27% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per game (1st half)1.36
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
1.18Average goals (1st half)1
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
55%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
55%No goal before half-time64%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per game (2nd half)1.09
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
0.27Goals conceded (2nd half)0.91
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
1.09Average goals (2nd half)1.55
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
73%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United
55%No goal after half-time64%
Kidderminster HarriersSutton United

Kidderminster Harriers - second-half results

36% W45% D18% L
14
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Sutton United - second-half results

27% W27% D45% L
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kidderminster Harriers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Sutton United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.41.4
Average goals per game0.82.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kidderminster Harriers
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
5
16-30
2
1
31-45
4
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Sutton United
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
5
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
78%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kidderminster Harriers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Sutton United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Kidderminster HarriersLigaSutton United
Average goals per game▼ 2.273.07▼ 2.55
Both teams scored▼ 45%64%▼ 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 36%60%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▲ 36%18%▲ 27%
Goal before half-time• 73%72%• 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 64%87%▼ 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.07
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
1.66
Home goals / game
1.41
Away goals / game
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Kidderminster HarriersGoalCallum Stewart
  2. Kidderminster HarriersYellow cardCian Harries
  3. Sutton UnitedYellow cardThorsten Spike Brits
  4. Kidderminster HarriersSubstitutionOn: Reece HallOff: Angus MacDonald
  5. Kidderminster HarriersSubstitutionOn: Max BroganOff: Zak Brown
  6. Kidderminster HarriersSubstitutionOn: Connor MahoneyOff: Callum Dolan
  7. Sutton UnitedGoalOmar MussaAssist: Temi Babalola

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Kidderminster Harriers vs Sutton United?

The National League match finished Kidderminster Harriers 1:1 Sutton United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kidderminster Harriers vs Sutton United?

Kidderminster Harriers score 1.27 goals per game on average and Sutton United 1.18. The National League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Kidderminster Harriers's matches and 36% of Sutton United's.

What form are Kidderminster Harriers and Sutton United in?

Over the last 5 games Kidderminster Harriers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sutton United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kidderminster Harriers vs Sutton United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.