Kifisia vs Levadiakos: match statistics

Kifisia are showing clearly better current form: they have collected 8 points from their last five matches, recording 2 wins, 2 draws and just 1 defeat, while Levadiakos have lost 4 of their 5 games and picked up only 3 points. The hosts have scored 12 goals during this period, compared with just 2 for the visitors, which clearly reflects the difference in the teams’ attacking efficiency. At home, Kifisia create chances worth an average of 1.33 xG and register 3 shots on target per match, whereas Levadiakos produce just 0.77 xG and 1 shot on target away from home. The visitors’ defense is particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 4 goals per away match, despite an xG against of 1.49. Levadiakos have failed to score in any away match this season, so Kifisia’s advantage should translate into a home victory.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Levadiakos have failed to score in all of their last 5 BTTS matches and averaged only 0.4 goals per game during this period. The visitors managed just 1 shot on target on average and recorded an xG of 1.09, while their form of 1 win and 4 losses further undermines their attacking credibility. Kifisia are considerably more effective, averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last 5 appearances and posting an xG of 1.96, while the opponents’ weak defense concedes an average of 2.2 goals and allows an xG of 1.51. Although the hosts have conceded an average of 1.6 goals in their last five matches, Levadiakos’ low attacking potential makes a scenario in which at least one team—primarily the visitors—fails to score more likely. Additionally, the league BTTS rate stands at just 45%, which also supports the No Goal outcome for both teams.

In their last 5 matches, Kifisia averaged 2.4 goals scored and created chances worth 1.96 xG, while Levadiakos conceded 2.2 goals per game over the same period. The hosts are therefore clear favorites to score at least two goals, especially as their opponents have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of the available matches this season. Levadiakos have recently scored just 0.4 goals per match, but Kifisia conceded an average of 1.6 goals, increasing the likelihood of the visitors contributing to the scoreline. Both teams have recorded 100% of matches with at least 2 goals so far, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal, while the Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 lines are more evenly balanced.

The strongest signal points to Kifisia taking the lead at the break and maintaining it until full time, as they have averaged 2.4 goals scored over their last five matches, compared with just 0.4 for Levadiakos. The hosts won 40% of the matches in this sample and lost only 20%, while the visitors suffered defeat in 80% of their games and conceded an average of 2.2 goals. Before half-time, Kifisia averaged 1.2 goals, six times more than Levadiakos’s 0.2, and led after 45 minutes in 40% of their recent appearances, compared with 20% for their opponents. After the break, the hosts continued to score an average of 1.2 goals, while the visitors conceded 1.6 in this period, further supporting an HT/FT home-win scenario without a change of leader. Risk remains elevated due to the small seasonal data sample and the fact that both teams recorded 100% defeats in the available home/away statistics; however, current form clearly favors Kifisia.