Kilmarnock vs Hearts: match statistics
Hearts occupy the first place in the table and display significantly better form and quality than Kilmarnock, who are ranked 11th. The hosts have a disastrous home record with a 57% loss rate and only 21% wins, conceding an average of 1.79 goals per match. Hearts, on the other hand, win 57% of their away games, scoring an average of 1.71 goals and conceding only 1.07 goals per match. The difference in efficiency (13% vs 9%) and ball possession (53% vs 45%) further favors the visitors. The recent form of both teams (0.8 PPG for Kilmarnock vs 1.8 PPG for Hearts) and Hearts' positive away goal difference (+9) compared to the hosts' negative home balance (-8) indicate a clear advantage for the away team in this clash.
Kilmarnock vs Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kilmarnock played against Hearts in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Kilmarnock has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Hearts has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Kilmarnock scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 2.07. Hearts scores 1.79 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.68 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Kilmarnock's games and 41% of Hearts's. The Over 2.5 rates are 66% and 48%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hearts has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.26 per game. Kilmarnock takes 10.9 shots per game, while Hearts takes 14.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. Hearts leads at halftime in 45% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kilmarnock's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Hearts, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.68 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hearts occupy the first place in the table and display significantly better form and quality than Kilmarnock, who are ranked 11th. The hosts have a disastrous home record with a 57% loss rate and only 21% wins, conceding an average of 1.79 goals per match. Hearts, on the other hand, win 57% of their away games, scoring an average of 1.71 goals and conceding only 1.07 goals per match. The difference in efficiency (13% vs 9%) and ball possession (53% vs 45%) further favors the visitors. The recent form of both teams (0.8 PPG for Kilmarnock vs 1.8 PPG for Hearts) and Hearts' positive away goal difference (+9) compared to the hosts' negative home balance (-8) indicate a clear advantage for the away team in this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kilmarnock | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hearts is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 1.8 pts / game - Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hearts is 63% better for: goals scored per game.
1.1 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 1.79 goals / game - Hearts
Hearts is 149% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.07 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 0.83 goals / game - Hearts
Kilmarnock scores in 72% of games (21 of 29 meczów), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 meczów).
Hearts scores in 90% of games (26 of 29 meczów), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
Over / Under - Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hearts is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 1.69 pts / game - Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 66%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kilmarnock
Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Kilmarnock | Liga | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.17 | 2.68 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 29% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Kilmarnock's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Hearts. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kilmarnock vs Hearts?
The Premiership match finished Kilmarnock 1:0 Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Hearts?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 0, Hearts won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs Hearts?
Kilmarnock score 1.10 goals per game on average and Hearts 1.79. The Premiership average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Kilmarnock's matches and 41% of Hearts's.
What form are Kilmarnock and Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Hearts 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs Hearts?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kilmarnock vs Hearts: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.