Scotland - PremiershipRugby ParkData current as of October 14, 2026

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kilmarnock vs Motherwell: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kilmarnock plays Motherwell in Premiership (Scotland). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Rugby Park.

Recent form

Kilmarnock has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Motherwell has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Kilmarnock scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 2.25. Motherwell scores 1.13 and allows 1.63. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Kilmarnock's games and 38% of Motherwell's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 63%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Motherwell has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.20 per game. Kilmarnock takes 10.3 shots per game, while Motherwell takes 13.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Motherwell leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kilmarnock's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Motherwell, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premiership games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.01)
(3.56)
(2.19)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

KilmarnockMotherwell
0.88Goals scored / game1.13
KilmarnockMotherwell
2.25Goals allowed / game1.63
KilmarnockMotherwell
42%Average possession58%
KilmarnockMotherwell
4Shots on target / game4.38
KilmarnockMotherwell

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.25Shots per game13.75
KilmarnockMotherwell
4Shots on target4.38
KilmarnockMotherwell
8.5%Shot conversion8.2%
KilmarnockMotherwell
42%Possession58%
KilmarnockMotherwell
1.2xG for1.52
KilmarnockMotherwell
1.96xG against1.78
KilmarnockMotherwell

Shooting quality

Kilmarnock: BalancedMotherwell: Balanced
KilmarnockMotherwell
Accuracy (shots on target)39%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Kilmarnock is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 0.6 pts / game - Motherwell

Kilmarnock
LDWDL
Season result split
13% W25% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-5
0.63 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 at home
0-1-3
LLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Motherwell
WLLLL
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
WDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Motherwell is 28% better for: goals scored per game.

0.88 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 1.13 goals / game - Motherwell

Motherwell is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.25 goals / game - Kilmarnock · 1.63 goals / game - Motherwell

Kilmarnock scoring profile: strong

Kilmarnock scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Motherwell keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

Motherwell scoring profile: strong

Motherwell scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 games), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

7Goals scored (season)9
KilmarnockMotherwell
18Goals conceded (season)13
KilmarnockMotherwell
3.13Average goals per game2.75
KilmarnockMotherwell
3Goals scored (last 5)4
KilmarnockMotherwell
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
KilmarnockMotherwell

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal50%
KilmarnockMotherwell
13%2 goals38%
KilmarnockMotherwell
13%3 goals25%
KilmarnockMotherwell
0%4 goals0%
KilmarnockMotherwell

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
KilmarnockMotherwell
50%2 goals50%
KilmarnockMotherwell
50%3 goals25%
KilmarnockMotherwell
38%4 goals13%
KilmarnockMotherwell

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
KilmarnockMotherwell
13%BTTS in both halves0%
KilmarnockMotherwell
13%Scored in both halves38%
KilmarnockMotherwell

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
KilmarnockMotherwell
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
KilmarnockMotherwell
40%BTTS - last 520%
KilmarnockMotherwell

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
KilmarnockMotherwell
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
KilmarnockMotherwell
38%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
KilmarnockMotherwell

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
KilmarnockMotherwell
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
KilmarnockMotherwell
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
KilmarnockMotherwell

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kilmarnock is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Kilmarnock · 0.88 pts / game - Motherwell

Kilmarnock - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Motherwell - half-time state
25% leading13% draw63% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)0.88
KilmarnockMotherwell
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.63
KilmarnockMotherwell
1.38Goals conceded (1st half)1
KilmarnockMotherwell
1.75Average goals (1st half)1.63
KilmarnockMotherwell
38%Clean sheet before half-time38%
KilmarnockMotherwell
63%No goal before half-time50%
KilmarnockMotherwell

After half-time (2nd half)

0.75Points per game (2nd half)1.25
KilmarnockMotherwell
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
KilmarnockMotherwell
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
KilmarnockMotherwell
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.13
KilmarnockMotherwell
50%Clean sheet after half-time63%
KilmarnockMotherwell
63%No goal after half-time63%
KilmarnockMotherwell

Kilmarnock - second-half results

13% W38% D50% L
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Motherwell - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
7
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kilmarnock - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.20
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.2
Average goals per game1.20.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Motherwell - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.00
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game1.41.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-3-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kilmarnock
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
3
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Motherwell
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
5
31-45
0
3
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kilmarnock

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.76
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
172%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Motherwell

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

KilmarnockLigaMotherwell
Average goals per game▲ 3.132.56▲ 2.75
Both teams scored• 50%50%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%52%▲ 63%
Clean sheets▼ 25%27%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 88%81%▲ 88%
Goal after half-time▼ 63%75%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / game
1.31
Away goals / game
+-5%
Home attack advantage
+-5%
Home defensive advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Kilmarnock's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Motherwell. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

FAQ

When do Kilmarnock and Motherwell play?

Kilmarnock face Motherwell on October 17, 2026 in Premiership at Rugby Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Motherwell?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 0, Motherwell won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?

Kilmarnock score 0.88 goals per game on average and Motherwell 1.13. The Premiership average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kilmarnock's matches and 38% of Motherwell's.

What form are Kilmarnock and Motherwell in?

Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Motherwell 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.