Kitara vs Express: match statistics
Kitara displays impressive home form with an 83% win rate and a +9 goal difference, having not lost a single match at their own stadium this season. The hosts average 2.17 goals per game in home matches while conceding just 0.67, giving them a solid defensive advantage. Conversely, Express has a disastrous away record – zero wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference of -7, scoring an average of only 0.33 goals per away match. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 67% of their away games, which, given the hosts' efficiency, makes their task incredibly difficult. Form over the last five matches also favors Kitara (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), and the advantage in home xG (1.6 vs 1.21 for the visitors) confirms the statistical dominance of the hosts.
Kitara vs Express: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kitara played against Express in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on January 28, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Kitara has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Express has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Kitara scores 1.58 goals per game and allows 0.83. Express scores 1.08 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 2.29 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Kitara's games and 31% of Express's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 46%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kitara has the higher season xG average, 1.82 to 1.32 per game. Kitara takes 12.5 shots per game, while Express takes 8.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Kitara leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Express leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kitara's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Express, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.29 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kitara displays impressive home form with an 83% win rate and a +9 goal difference, having not lost a single match at their own stadium this season. The hosts average 2.17 goals per game in home matches while conceding just 0.67, giving them a solid defensive advantage. Conversely, Express has a disastrous away record – zero wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference of -7, scoring an average of only 0.33 goals per away match. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 67% of their away games, which, given the hosts' efficiency, makes their task incredibly difficult. Form over the last five matches also favors Kitara (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), and the advantage in home xG (1.6 vs 1.21 for the visitors) confirms the statistical dominance of the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kitara | Express | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kitara is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Kitara · 1.2 pts / game - Express
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitara is 46% better for: goals scored per game.
1.58 goals / game - Kitara · 1.08 goals / game - Express
Kitara is 48% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.83 goals / game - Kitara · 1.23 goals / game - Express
Kitara scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 games), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 games).
Express scores in 46% of games (6 of 13 games), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kitara
Over / Under - Express
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kitara is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / game - Kitara · 1.31 pts / game - Express
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kitara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Express - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kitara
Express
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kitara | Liga | Express | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.42 | 2.29 | • 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 42% | 41% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 34% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- KitaraGoalPatrick Kaddu
FAQ
What was the result of Kitara vs Express?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Kitara 1:0 Express. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kitara vs Express?
Kitara score 1.58 goals per game on average and Express 1.08. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Kitara's matches and 31% of Express's.
What form are Kitara and Express in?
Over the last 5 games Kitara have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Express 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitara vs Express?
The statistical background for Kitara vs Express — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.