Kitara vs Ntugasaze: match statistics
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Kitara vs Ntugasaze: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kitara plays Ntugasaze in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game is scheduled for October 20, 2026.
Recent form
Kitara has 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Ntugasaze has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Kitara scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 0.75. Ntugasaze scores 0.50 and allows 2.17. Games in this league average 2.14 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Kitara's games and 33% of Ntugasaze's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 50%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ntugasaze has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.21 per game. Kitara takes 8.8 shots per game, while Ntugasaze takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Kitara leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Ntugasaze leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.17 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kitara's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Ntugasaze, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.14 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kitara | Ntugasaze | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.15 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kitara is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Kitara · 0.6 pts / game - Ntugasaze
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitara is 150% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Kitara · 0.5 goals / game - Ntugasaze
Kitara is 189% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Kitara · 2.17 goals / game - Ntugasaze
Kitara scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 games), while Ntugasaze keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).
Ntugasaze scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 games), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kitara
Over / Under - Ntugasaze
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kitara is 87% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Kitara · 0.67 pts / game - Ntugasaze
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kitara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ntugasaze - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kitara
Ntugasaze
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kitara | Liga | Ntugasaze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.14 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 36% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 40% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 40% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 58% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 68% | • 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Kitara and Ntugasaze play?
Kitara face Ntugasaze on October 20, 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kitara vs Ntugasaze?
Kitara score 1.25 goals per game on average and Ntugasaze 0.50. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Kitara's matches and 33% of Ntugasaze's.
What form are Kitara and Ntugasaze in?
Over the last 5 games Kitara have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Ntugasaze 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitara vs Ntugasaze?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kitara vs Ntugasaze: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.