Kitayosce vs Mbeya City: match statistics
Kitayosce displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate and 75% clean sheets at home, which forms a solid foundation for victory. The hosts are unbeaten in their last five home matches (2 wins, 2 draws), while Mbeya City loses as many as 71% of away matches and has only managed one win in their last seven away fixtures. The difference in average goals scored is substantial - Kitayosce averages 1.5 goals at home, while Mbeya City only 0.71 away, with the visitors failing to score in 57% of their away matches. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.45 vs 1.11), and the goal difference confirms Kitayosce's advantage (+4 at home compared to Mbeya City's -5 away). Taking all these factors into account, a home win is the most likely scenario for this match.
Kitayosce vs Mbeya City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kitayosce played against Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Kitayosce has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Mbeya City has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Kitayosce scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 0.90. Mbeya City scores 0.69 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 1.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Kitayosce's games and 31% of Mbeya City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 31%, compared with league averages of 28% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mbeya City has the higher season xG average, 1.10 to 1.00 per game. Kitayosce takes 5.8 shots per game, while Mbeya City takes 5.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Kitayosce leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Mbeya City leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.23 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kitayosce's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Mbeya City, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligi kuu Bara games average 1.76 goals. Both teams score in 28% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kitayosce displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate and 75% clean sheets at home, which forms a solid foundation for victory. The hosts are unbeaten in their last five home matches (2 wins, 2 draws), while Mbeya City loses as many as 71% of away matches and has only managed one win in their last seven away fixtures. The difference in average goals scored is substantial - Kitayosce averages 1.5 goals at home, while Mbeya City only 0.71 away, with the visitors failing to score in 57% of their away matches. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.45 vs 1.11), and the goal difference confirms Kitayosce's advantage (+4 at home compared to Mbeya City's -5 away). Taking all these factors into account, a home win is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kitayosce | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.65 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kitayosce is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Kitayosce · 0.4 pts / game - Mbeya City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitayosce is 59% better for: goals scored per game.
1.1 goals / game - Kitayosce · 0.69 goals / game - Mbeya City
Kitayosce is 46% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.9 goals / game - Kitayosce · 1.31 goals / game - Mbeya City
Kitayosce scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 games), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 games).
Mbeya City scores in 46% of games (6 of 13 games), while Kitayosce keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kitayosce
Over / Under - Mbeya City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kitayosce - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kitayosce
Mbeya City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Kitayosce | Liga | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.00 | 1.76 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 40% | 44% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Kitayosce vs Mbeya City?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Kitayosce 0:2 Mbeya City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kitayosce vs Mbeya City?
Kitayosce score 1.10 goals per game on average and Mbeya City 0.69. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Kitayosce's matches and 31% of Mbeya City's.
What form are Kitayosce and Mbeya City in?
Over the last 5 games Kitayosce have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mbeya City 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitayosce vs Mbeya City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.