KMC vs Mtibwa Sugar: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

KMC play Mtibwa Sugar in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 25 November 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

KMC: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Mtibwa Sugar: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

KMC scores 0.57 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: KMC 32%, Mtibwa Sugar 50%. Over 2.5: KMC 39%, Mtibwa Sugar 53%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

KMC has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.00. KMC: 6.6 shots per match, Mtibwa Sugar: 3.5.

Match halves

KMC: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.29. Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

KMC: 31-45+ (5 goals). Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
KMCMtibwa Sugar
6Shots5
KMCMtibwa Sugar
2Shots on target4
KMCMtibwa Sugar
1.1xG1.02
KMCMtibwa Sugar
6Corners3
KMCMtibwa Sugar
80Dangerous attacks58
KMCMtibwa Sugar
17Fouls19
KMCMtibwa Sugar
0Cards0
KMCMtibwa Sugar

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.57Goals scored / match0.83
KMCMtibwa Sugar
1.75Goals conceded / match1.6
KMCMtibwa Sugar
44%Average possession29%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
2.46Shots on target / match1.2
KMCMtibwa Sugar

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.64Shots per match3.5
KMCMtibwa Sugar
2.46Shots on target1.2
KMCMtibwa Sugar
8.6%Shot conversion23.8%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
44%Possession29%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
1.21xG for1
KMCMtibwa Sugar
1.57xG against1.58
KMCMtibwa Sugar

Shooting quality

KMC: BalancedMtibwa Sugar: Counter-attacking
KMCMtibwa Sugar
Accuracy (shots on target)37%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.29
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.69

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KMC
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
7% W11% R82% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-23
0.32 pts / match · goal difference -33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-9
Last 5 at home
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Mtibwa Sugar
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W30% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-15
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-5-10
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.85Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mtibwa Sugar is 46% better for: goals scored per match.

0.57 goals / match - KMC · 0.83 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar

Mtibwa Sugar is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.75 goals / match - KMC · 1.6 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar

KMC scoring profile: mixed

KMC scores in 39% of matches (11 of 28 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

Mtibwa Sugar scoring profile: very strong

Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while KMC keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).

16Goals scored (season)25
KMCMtibwa Sugar
49Goals conceded (season)48
KMCMtibwa Sugar
2.32Average goals in match2.43
KMCMtibwa Sugar
3Goals scored (last 5)2
KMCMtibwa Sugar
10Goals conceded (last 5)12
KMCMtibwa Sugar

How often they score at least...

39%1 goal57%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
14%2 goals20%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
4%3 goals3%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
0%4 goals3%
KMCMtibwa Sugar

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal80%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
43%2 goals47%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
36%3 goals27%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
7%4 goals7%
KMCMtibwa Sugar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time23%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
7%BTTS in both halves0%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
11%Scored in both halves17%
KMCMtibwa Sugar

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
40%BTTS - last 540%
KMCMtibwa Sugar

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
KMCMtibwa Sugar

2nd half

61%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
21%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
KMCMtibwa Sugar

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

KMC is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / match - KMC · 0.67 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar

KMC - half-time state
11% leading43% draw46% trailing
Mtibwa Sugar - half-time state
7% leading47% draw47% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per match (1st half)0.67
KMCMtibwa Sugar
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.33
KMCMtibwa Sugar
0.93Goals conceded (1st half)0.87
KMCMtibwa Sugar
1.21Average goals (1st half)1.2
KMCMtibwa Sugar
43%Clean sheet before half-time33%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
71%No goal before half-time70%
KMCMtibwa Sugar

After half-time (2nd half)

0.68Points per match (2nd half)1.03
KMCMtibwa Sugar
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
KMCMtibwa Sugar
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
KMCMtibwa Sugar
1.07Average goals (2nd half)1.17
KMCMtibwa Sugar
43%Clean sheet after half-time53%
KMCMtibwa Sugar
79%No goal after half-time60%
KMCMtibwa Sugar

KMC - second-half results

7% W46% R46% P
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-18
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding64%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results

23% W33% R43% P
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding286%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

KMC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Mtibwa Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.20
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

KMC
ScoredConceded
0
9
0-15
3
8
16-30
5
10
31-45
4
8
46-60
0
7
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Mtibwa Sugar
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
1
6
16-30
7
11
31-45
3
8
46-60
2
5
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+195%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
22%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
26%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

KMC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.82
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
44%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
201%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Mtibwa Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

KMCLigaMtibwa Sugar
Average goals in match 2.322.17 2.43
Both teams scored 32%35% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%39% 53%
Clean sheets 11%39% 20%
Goal before half-time 68%60% 73%
Goal after half-time 61%63% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.17
Average goals per match
35%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.30
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: KMC 0 - 0 - 1 Mtibwa Sugar. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of KMC vs Mtibwa Sugar?

The Ligi kuu Bara match finished KMC 0:0 Mtibwa Sugar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before KMC vs Mtibwa Sugar?

KMC score 0.57 goals per game on average and Mtibwa Sugar 0.83. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 32% of KMC's matches and 50% of Mtibwa Sugar's.

What form are KMC and Mtibwa Sugar in?

Over the last 5 games KMC have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Mtibwa Sugar 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KMC vs Mtibwa Sugar?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.