Kocaelispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir: match statistics
Kocaelispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kocaelispor played against İstanbul Başakşehir in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The game was played on April 6, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Kocaelispor has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. İstanbul Başakşehir has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Kocaelispor scores 0.85 goals per game and allows 1.19. İstanbul Başakşehir scores 1.63 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 37% of Kocaelispor's games and 59% of İstanbul Başakşehir's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 59%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
İstanbul Başakşehir has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.16 per game. Kocaelispor takes 10.3 shots per game, while İstanbul Başakşehir takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Kocaelispor leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. İstanbul Başakşehir leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kocaelispor's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For İstanbul Başakşehir, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Süper Lig games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
İstanbul Başakşehir is the favorite in this matchup — they have 44 goals scored this season versus Kocaelispor's 23, and the average goals by visitors away is 1.62 compared to 1.00 for hosts at home. The visitors create more chances: on average 13.69 shots and 4.92 on target per away match versus 11.79 shots and 3.71 on target for the hosts, and the visitors’ xG away is 1.53 versus the hosts’ 1.29 xG, which confirms superiority in chance quality. Efficiency is also on Başakşehir’s side — a 12% conversion rate versus 8% for Kocaelispor, and in the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 6 goals and average 1.4 points per match versus 2 goals and 0.6 points for the hosts. Still, Kocaelispor have a home defensive edge: they concede only 0.79 goals per match on average and have 43% of matches with a clean sheet, so they can make the game difficult. Considering the advantage in shots, xG, efficiency and form, I predict an away win, with a draw remaining a realistic alternative.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonally Kocaelispor has BTTS at 71% and İstanbul Başakşehir 46%, with a league average of 54%, but recent form contradicts that trend. In the last 5 matches the home side has only 20% BTTS and averages 0.4 goals (2 goals in 5 matches), while the away side has 40% BTTS and 1.2 goals (6 goals in 5 matches); the home team meanwhile concedes 1.8 goals on average in this period and the visitors 1.6. Season xG shows both teams generate around 1.4 xG (home 1.41, away 1.53) and both also concede roughly 1.4 xG on average (against home 1.43, against away 1.35); however in the last 5 matches the home side has xG 1.06 with only 0.4 scored goals, suggesting finishing issues. Additionally the home team has 29% clean sheets and the away team 38%, while the league records 56% matches with a clean sheet, which increases the chance that at least one team fails to score. As a result the No (no BTTS) scenario looks more likely, which I assign 60% vs 40% for Yes (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive profile analysis yields total expected goals of about 2.86: Kocaelispor has attacking xG 1.41 and Başakşehir’s defense concedes 1.35 xG, giving ~1.38 for the home side; Başakşehir has attacking xG 1.53 and Kocaelispor’s xG conceded 1.43, giving ~1.48 for the away side. A Poisson model with λ=2.86 indicates probability of Over 1.5 ≈78%, Over 2.5 ≈54% and Over 3.5 ≈32%, and these estimates align with seasonal rates (home Over1.5 in 79% and Over2.5 in 50%, away respectively 85% and 69%). Additionally Kocaelispor records BTTS in 71% of matches, Başakşehir 46%, and shots on target 4.5 vs 4.92 and season goals 23 vs 44 suggest both sides can create chances. The last 5 matches weaken the hosts (only 2 goals in 5 matches, average 0.4), however seasonal xG and high Over 1.5/2.5 percentages still favor total goals over 1.5, therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time I expect a draw: Kocaelispor averages 0.71 goals scored and 0.43 conceded by the break, while Başakşehir averages 0.62 scored and 0.31 conceded; hosts record a half-time draw in 57% of matches versus 38% for visitors, which averages to roughly a 48% chance of an HT draw. After 90 minutes the favorite are the visitors — Başakşehir win 54% of matches versus Kocaelispor’s 36% and have higher xG (1.53 vs 1.41), indicating better quality chances. Second-half statistics confirm the visitors’ advantage: Başakşehir score on average 1.00 goal after the break while conceding 0.69, hosts have 0.93 scored and 0.79 conceded, and in the last five matches the visitors collected an average of 1.4 points in second halves versus 0.2 points for Kocaelispor. As a result the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Başakşehir victory after 90 minutes (X/2), which I assign the highest probability to; important alternatives are 1/1 (home team maintaining the lead) and X/X (full-time draw).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kocaelispor | İstanbul Başakşehir | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Kocaelispor · 2 pts / game - İstanbul Başakşehir
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 92% better for: goals scored per game.
0.85 goals / game - Kocaelispor · 1.63 goals / game - İstanbul Başakşehir
İstanbul Başakşehir is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.19 goals / game - Kocaelispor · 1.11 goals / game - İstanbul Başakşehir
Kocaelispor scores in 59% of games (16 of 27 meczów), while İstanbul Başakşehir keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 meczów).
İstanbul Başakşehir scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 meczów), while Kocaelispor keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kocaelispor
Over / Under - İstanbul Başakşehir
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - Kocaelispor · 1.59 pts / game - İstanbul Başakşehir
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kocaelispor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
İstanbul Başakşehir - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kocaelispor
İstanbul Başakşehir
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Kocaelispor | Liga | İstanbul Başakşehir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.04 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Kocaelispor's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against İstanbul Başakşehir. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kocaelispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
The Süper Lig match finished Kocaelispor 0:0 İstanbul Başakşehir. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kocaelispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Kocaelispor score 0.85 goals per game on average and İstanbul Başakşehir 1.63. The Süper Lig average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Kocaelispor's matches and 59% of İstanbul Başakşehir's.
What form are Kocaelispor and İstanbul Başakşehir in?
Over the last 5 games Kocaelispor have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and İstanbul Başakşehir 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kocaelispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kocaelispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.