Kongsvinger vs Strømmen: match statistics
Kongsvinger vs Strømmen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kongsvinger played Strømmen in First Division (Norway). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Venue: Gjemselund Stadion. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Kongsvinger: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Strømmen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kongsvinger scores 2.80 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Strømmen scores 1.20 and concedes 2.40. League average: 3.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kongsvinger 80%, Strømmen 47%. Over 2.5: Kongsvinger 87%, Strømmen 67%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Kongsvinger has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.27. Kongsvinger: 14.0 shots per match, Strømmen: 10.5.
Match halves
Kongsvinger: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.60. Strømmen: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Kongsvinger: 46-60 (11 goals). Strømmen: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.75 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kongsvinger is the clear favorite: at home they average 3.29 goals per game and have an 86% home win rate, while Strømmen score only 1.29 goals on average away and win 14% of their away matches. The difference in chance creation is significant: Kongsvinger have average home xG 1.96 with 16.14 shots and 6.86 shots on target, whereas Strømmen have away xG 1.19 with 9.71 shots and 3.71 on target. The hosts are more efficient (conversion 20% versus Strømmen 13%), and additionally Kongsvinger have no home matches without scoring (FTS 0%), while Strømmen fail to score in 57% of away games. Defensively Strømmen concede 2.43 goals on average away, and Kongsvinger concede 1.43 at home; the goal difference is +13 for the hosts versus -8 for the visitors, which amplifies the advantage. Considering Kongsvinger’s 19 goals in the last 5 matches versus Strømmen’s 4 goals and the superior xG and shot metrics, I tip a home win (1).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 65% versus 35% for No Goal, as defensive indicators for both teams favor goals from both sides. Kongsvinger concedes on average 2.38 goals per match and Strømmen 2.43, indicating both sides regularly concede. Kongsvinger in the last 5 matches has averaged 3.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (last 5 matches BTTS 100%), while Strømmen in the last 5 averages 0.8 goals per match with only 20% BTTS, which gives a mixed signal on one hand but does not contradict the overall trend. Additionally, the league BTTS rate is 61%, seasonal BTTS for home teams is 50% versus 43% for away teams, and the percentage of matches over 2.5 goals is 75% and 57%, all supporting the Both Teams To Score option. Considering Strømmen’s lack of clean sheets (0% clean sheets) and the hosts’ xG 1.35 versus the visitors’ 1.19, the stronger choice is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining xG and defensive averages yields total expected goals of approximately 2.81: Kongsvinger 1.41 (xG 1.35 vs Strømmen defensive average 1.47) and Strømmen 1.40 (xG 1.19 vs home defensive average 1.61). Historical data show both teams frequently exceed 1.5 goals per match — Kongsvinger 75% of games over 1.5, Strømmen 71%, and the league records 73% of matches over 2.5, indicating an offensive league profile. The home side’s form reinforces this signal: Kongsvinger scored 19 goals in the last 5 matches (3.8 avg) with 100% of matches over 2.5, while Strømmen scored 4 goals in the last 5 (0.8 avg). In a simple Poisson model with λ=2.81 we get P(over 1.5) ≈ 77%, P(over 2.5) ≈ 53% and P(over 3.5) ≈ 31%, therefore the strongest and most probable bet is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears most likely: Kongsvinger led at the break in only 13% of matches, Strømmen in 14%, while a half-time draw occurs in 38% of home matches and 43% of away matches. After the break, however, the home side’s advantage is pronounced — in the last five matches Kongsvinger averaged 1.8 goals after half-time versus 0.4 for Strømmen, and the home team won 80% of second halves in those five games compared to 20% for Strømmen. Additionally, Kongsvinger generates more chances and has higher xG: on average 11.13 shots and 1.35 xG per match versus 9.71 shots and 1.19 xG for Strømmen, and 4.13 shots on target versus 3.71, which increases their probability of a turnaround after the break. Considering these figures and recent form (last 5 matches: Kongsvinger 60% wins vs Strømmen 40%), the strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a Kongsvinger win after 90 minutes (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kongsvinger | Strømmen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kongsvinger is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Kongsvinger · 1.4 pts / match - Strømmen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kongsvinger is 133% better for: goals scored per match.
2.8 goals / match - Kongsvinger · 1.2 goals / match - Strømmen
Kongsvinger is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Kongsvinger · 2.4 goals / match - Strømmen
Kongsvinger scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Strømmen keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
Strømmen scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Kongsvinger keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kongsvinger
Over / Under — Strømmen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kongsvinger is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Kongsvinger · 0.8 pts / match - Strømmen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kongsvinger - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Strømmen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 3.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kongsvinger
Strømmen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Kongsvinger | Liga | Strømmen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.27 | 3.75 | ▼ 3.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 60% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 87% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 93% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 88% | • 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kongsvinger 0 - 1 - 0 Strømmen. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kongsvinger vs Strømmen?
The First Division match finished Kongsvinger 1:3 Strømmen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kongsvinger vs Strømmen?
Kongsvinger score 2.80 goals per game on average and Strømmen 1.20. The First Division average is 3.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Kongsvinger's matches and 47% of Strømmen's.
What form are Kongsvinger and Strømmen in?
Over the last 5 games Kongsvinger have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Strømmen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kongsvinger vs Strømmen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.