Konyaspor vs Rizespor: match statistics

Both teams head into the match in poor form: Konyaspor have won just 1 of their last 5 matches and suffered 4 defeats, while Rizespor recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over the same period. The hosts scored only 3 goals in those matches, averaging 0.6 per game, which limits their ability to capitalize on home advantage. Rizespor scored 6 goals but conceded as many as 12, while Konyaspor allowed their opponents to find the net 10 times, meaning both defenses remain clearly unstable. The visitors collected slightly more points over the last five rounds, 0.8 compared with 0.6, but their higher number of goals conceded offsets that advantage. With the teams occupying similar positions in the table, 13th and 14th respectively, and both struggling for consistency, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome.

The BTTS signal is mixed, as both teams scored in 40% of Konyaspor’s last five matches and 60% of Rizespor’s. The strongest argument for BTTS - No is the home side’s poor finishing: they scored just 3 goals, averaging 0.6 per match, despite recording an average xG of 1.06. Although Rizespor conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game during this period, Konyaspor lost four of their last five matches and their attack has failed to convert the chances created. The visitors have greater attacking potential, averaging 1.2 goals and an xG of 1.74, while Konyaspor conceded an average of 2.0 goals. Therefore, the more likely scenario remains that Rizespor will score, but Konyaspor will once again fail to respond.

Data from the last 5 matches indicates a clearly elevated number of goalscoring chances: Konyaspor conceded an average of 2.0 goals, while Rizespor conceded as many as 2.4 goals per match. During the same period, matches involving both teams ended with at least 3 goals in 80% of cases, although the sample size is small. Rizespor have greater attacking potential, averaging 1.2 goals scored and an xG of 1.74, while Konyaspor’s defense allowed opponents an xG of 1.94. The hosts scored just 3 goals in five appearances, so I assess the chances of Over 2.5 more cautiously than the likelihood of at least 2 goals. Over 1.5 is the strongest pick, as the projected total of 2.80 goals and the poor defensive records of both sides clearly support this line being exceeded.

The strongest single HT/FT variant is Rizespor to lead at the break and secure the final victory, as Konyaspor have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, while Rizespor have lost 3 of 5. During this period, the hosts failed to score before half-time and were trailing after 45 minutes in 60% of their matches, whereas the visitors averaged 0.6 goals scored before the break. Konyaspor conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Rizespor, despite their own defensive problems and averaging 2.4 goals conceded, scored twice as many goals as their opponents: 1.2 compared with 0.6. After the break, both teams regularly open up, with at least one goal being scored in the second half of each of their last 5 matches; however, the hosts conceded an average of 1.4 goals during this period. A draw at half-time remains a realistic alternative, but Konyaspor’s poor first-half performances and losing streak do not provide sufficient grounds to place them ahead of the visitors.