KR vs Breidablik: match statistics

KR are second in the standings and remain unbeaten in their last five matches, scoring 19 goals, while Breidablik have netted just 4 during that period. At home, the hosts win 89% of their matches, average 4.11 goals and create chances worth 2.67 xG, comfortably outperforming their opponents’ away figures of 1.56 goals and 1.54 xG. KR also hold a clear advantage in terms of game control, averaging 62% possession, 23.33 shots and 9.78 shots on target per match, compared with Breidablik’s 53%, 13.11 and 4.00 respectively. The visitors are difficult to beat away from home, drawing 44% of their matches, but have won just 22%, while they have failed to score in one-third of those games. KR’s defense concedes 1.89 goals per home match, so Breidablik may create chances of their own, but the scale of the hosts’ attacking superiority clearly points to a KR victory.

Both teams have an identical 67% rate of matches featuring goals for both sides this season, only slightly below the league average of 70%. KR score an average of 2.44 goals per match and have failed to score in none of their matches this season, while Breidablik concede an average of 1.67 goals. The hosts also allow opponents an average of 1.67 goals, with an xG against them of 1.75, while Breidablik create an average of 1.54 xG, giving the visitors a solid basis for finding the net. A note of caution is Breidablik’s recent form: they have scored just 4 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.8 per game, with BTTS landing in 40% of those fixtures. Despite this, KR’s outstanding attacking form—19 goals scored and 3.11 xG generated per match during this period—increases the chances of an open game in which the visitors exploit the hosts’ defensive weaknesses.

KR score an average of 2.44 goals per game this season, rising to as many as 3.8 across their last five matches, with a very high average xG of 3.11 over that period. Breidablik concede an average of 1.67 goals per match and allow an average xG of 1.93, which supports at least two goals for the home side. KR’s matches have gone Over 1.5 goals in 78% of cases, while the same outcome has occurred in 67% of Breidablik’s games. Additionally, the league averages 3.87 goals per match, with the 2.5-goal line being exceeded in 69% of fixtures. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5 goals, as KR’s attacking form and the league’s high-scoring profile significantly reduce the likelihood of a one-goal game at most.

KR are clearly the stronger side in the latest run of form, averaging 3.8 goals per match compared with Breidablik’s 0.8, while the hosts have lost none of their last five games. The first-half signal is particularly strong, as KR held a lead at the break in 80% of their last five matches and scored an average of 1.8 goals before half-time, whereas Breidablik failed to score a single first-half goal and were behind after 45 minutes in 60% of those appearances. Over the season as a whole, the hosts also hold a clear quality advantage: they win 67% of their matches compared with 22% for the visitors, while their average xG stands at 1.80 versus 1.54 for Breidablik. KR remain highly dangerous after the break, averaging 1.56 goals in the second half and as many as 2.0 across their last five matches, which further supports the scenario of maintaining or extending their lead. The 1/1 pick is therefore the most likely outcome, although both teams’ high seasonal average of 1.67 goals conceded leaves some risk of the visitors finding the net.