KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge: match statistics
KRC Genk outperform Cercle Brugge in terms of expected goals at their own stadium (xG 2.06 vs 1.37), indicating a clear offensive advantage for the hosts. Genk average 1.4 goals per match at home with high possession (65%), while Cercle scored only 1 goal on average away. However, Cercle Brugge have a solid defense in away matches (averaging 0.8 goals conceded, 50% clean sheets), which may make the task difficult for the hosts. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (Genk 1.0 PPG, Cercle 1.4 PPG), but the xG advantage and Genk's home statistics speak in their favor. Taking all factors into account, I expect a difficult but victorious match for the hosts, with the possibility of a draw due to the visitors' defensive solidity.
KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
KRC Genk played against Cercle Brugge in Pro League (Belgium). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
KRC Genk has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Cercle Brugge has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
KRC Genk scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.57. Cercle Brugge scores 1.29 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 81% of KRC Genk's games and 62% of Cercle Brugge's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 43%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
KRC Genk has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.51 per game. KRC Genk takes 16.3 shots per game, while Cercle Brugge takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
KRC Genk leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Cercle Brugge leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
KRC Genk's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Cercle Brugge, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Pro League games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KRC Genk outperform Cercle Brugge in terms of expected goals at their own stadium (xG 2.06 vs 1.37), indicating a clear offensive advantage for the hosts. Genk average 1.4 goals per match at home with high possession (65%), while Cercle scored only 1 goal on average away. However, Cercle Brugge have a solid defense in away matches (averaging 0.8 goals conceded, 50% clean sheets), which may make the task difficult for the hosts. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (Genk 1.0 PPG, Cercle 1.4 PPG), but the xG advantage and Genk's home statistics speak in their favor. Taking all factors into account, I expect a difficult but victorious match for the hosts, with the possibility of a draw due to the visitors' defensive solidity.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| KRC Genk | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cercle Brugge is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - KRC Genk · 1.4 pts / game - Cercle Brugge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cercle Brugge is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.57 goals / game - KRC Genk · 1.43 goals / game - Cercle Brugge
KRC Genk scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 meczów), while Cercle Brugge keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
Cercle Brugge scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while KRC Genk keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KRC Genk
Over / Under - Cercle Brugge
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cercle Brugge is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - KRC Genk · 1.1 pts / game - Cercle Brugge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KRC Genk - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Cercle Brugge - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
KRC Genk
Cercle Brugge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KRC Genk | Liga | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.90 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 81% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 45% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from KRC Genk's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Cercle Brugge. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge?
The Pro League match finished KRC Genk 1:1 Cercle Brugge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge?
KRC Genk score 1.33 goals per game on average and Cercle Brugge 1.29. The Pro League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 81% of KRC Genk's matches and 62% of Cercle Brugge's.
What form are KRC Genk and Cercle Brugge in?
Over the last 5 games KRC Genk have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Cercle Brugge 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge?
The statistical background for KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.