Kristiansund vs Rosenborg: match statistics

Kristiansund have significantly stronger home numbers: they win 44% of their matches, score an average of 1.33 goals, and lose only 33% of games. Rosenborg are sixth in the table and have impressed with their current form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring as many as 22 goals in the process. However, the visitors’ away performances are a concern: they have lost 67% of such matches, score only 1.00 goal on average away from home, and have failed to score in 56% of them. Kristiansund concede 1.22 goals per home match, while Rosenborg allow opponents an average of 1.78 goals away from home and have an xG against of 1.84. The hosts’ greater stability in this specific environment, combined with Rosenborg’s poor away efficiency, gives Kristiansund a slight edge to win.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Rosenborg’s seasonal scoring record: the visitors score an average of just 1.00 goal per match and failed to score in 56% of their games. Their BTTS rate for the entire season is only 22%, clearly below Kristiansund’s 55% and the league average of 57%. Kristiansund have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their matches and concede an average of 1.18 goals, increasing the likelihood that they will contain their opponents’ inconsistent attack. The hosts should score, however, as they average 2.45 goals, generate an xG of 1.80, while Rosenborg concede an average of 1.78 goals and allow opponents an xG of 1.84. The visitors’ form over their last five matches, with 4.4 goals and BTTS in 60% of games, increases the risk of a BTTS - Yes outcome, but the long-term data showing their frequent scoreless matches still marginally supports BTTS - No.

Kristiansund score an average of 2.45 goals per match at home, while Rosenborg concede 1.78 goals per away game, clearly supporting the hosts’ attacking output. Kristiansund’s offensive potential is further confirmed by an average xG of 1.80 and 5.91 shots on target per match, while their opponents allow an average xG of 1.84. Rosenborg have scored as many as 4.4 goals per match across their last 5 games, with an xG of 1.98, although their season-long away average is only 1.00. At least 2 goals have been scored in 100% of Kristiansund’s matches and in 89% of Rosenborg’s away fixtures, while the league average of 3.15 goals further supports an open game scenario. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the data for both teams indicates a very high probability of surpassing this low line.

Kristiansund has very strong home numbers: they win 64% of their matches, score an average of 2.45 goals, and concede only 1.18, so scenarios involving a home win at full time continue to receive a high overall rating. However, Rosenborg’s current form is the strongest argument in their favor: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 4.4 goals, and led at the break in 80% of those games. During this period, the visitors scored an average of 1.8 goals per match before half-time and conceded just 0.2, while Kristiansund recorded 0.8 and 1.2 goals respectively. Rosenborg have also maintained a high level of effectiveness after the interval, averaging 2.6 second-half goals recently, which supports the HT/FT scenario of the visitors leading at the break and securing victory after 90 minutes.