KuPS vs Ilves: match statistics
KuPS vs Ilves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KuPS play Ilves in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 23 June 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Savon Sanomat Areena. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
KuPS: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Ilves: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
KuPS scores 1.80 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Ilves scores 1.67 and concedes 1.93. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KuPS 67%, Ilves 67%. Over 2.5: KuPS 47%, Ilves 73%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
KuPS has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.41. KuPS: 16.0 shots per match, Ilves: 11.3.
Match halves
KuPS: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.87. Ilves: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
KuPS: 31-45+ (9 goals). Ilves: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-1-3. Average goals 3.60, BTTS 60%.
Match description
I predict a KuPS win. The hosts have a clear defensive advantage at home – conceding on average 0.71 goals per match and recording 43% clean sheets, while Ilves concedes 2.5 goals on average away and has registered no clean sheets on the road. KuPS generates greater attacking threat at home: average xG 1.79, 5.29 shots on target and 15.57 shots per match with a 10% conversion rate, whereas Ilves away has xG 1.14 and only 3.5 shots on target with 47% possession. Ilves shows strong overall form (12 goals and 4 wins in the last 5 matches), but that form is weaker away (0% wins and 50% losses on the road). Considering KuPS’s unbeaten home record (0% home losses), superior xG metrics and shot advantage, I assess the probabilities as 65% for the hosts, 20% for a draw and 15% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KuPS | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KuPS is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - KuPS · 1.4 pts / match - Ilves
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KuPS is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - KuPS · 1.67 goals / match - Ilves
KuPS is 93% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - KuPS · 1.93 goals / match - Ilves
KuPS scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Ilves scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while KuPS keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — KuPS
Over / Under — Ilves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KuPS is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - KuPS · 1.27 pts / match - Ilves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KuPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KuPS
Ilves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| KuPS | Liga | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.80 | 2.70 | ▲ 3.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 79% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): KuPS 1 - 1 - 3 Ilves. Average goals 3.60, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KuPS vs Ilves?
The Veikkausliiga match finished KuPS 4:3 Ilves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KuPS and Ilves?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches KuPS won 1, Ilves won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KuPS vs Ilves?
KuPS score 1.80 goals per game on average and Ilves 1.67. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 67% of KuPS's matches and 67% of Ilves's.
What form are KuPS and Ilves in?
Over the last 5 games KuPS have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Ilves 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KuPS vs Ilves?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.