KuPS vs Oulu: match statistics
KuPS vs Oulu: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
KuPS played against Oulu in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on April 22, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
KuPS has 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.33 points per game. Oulu has 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
KuPS scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 0.67. Oulu scores 2.33 and allows 0.33. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of KuPS's games and 33% of Oulu's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 33%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
KuPS has the higher season xG average, 1.96 to 1.43 per game. KuPS takes 15.3 shots per game, while Oulu takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
KuPS leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Oulu leads at halftime in 67% and scores 1.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
KuPS's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Oulu, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back KuPS to win (1) based on home advantage and superiority in chance creation. KuPS are unbeaten at home with 100% wins, averaging 26 shots per match, 10 on target, 71% possession and home xG of 3.03. Despite this, KuPS score only 1 goal per game on average with a 4% conversion rate and have conceded 8 goals in the last 5 matches, which weakens their defensive credibility (1.4 points per game in that period). Oulu away are top of the table (position 1), averaging 3 goals on the road with 14.5 shots and 5 shots on target and a high 21% conversion; in the last 5 games they have 9 goals and 1.8 points per game. Considering KuPS’s dominance in creating chances (xG 3.03, 26 shots) and Oulu’s efficiency (21% conversion, 3 away goals), I assess the probabilities as 55% for KuPS, 25% draw and 20% for Oulu.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes. Oulu have a strong away attack: averaging 3.0 goals scored, 14.5 shots and 5.0 shots on target with 21% conversion, creating a significant chance for an away goal. KuPS formally have 100% clean sheets at home and 0% BTTS in home games this season, which historically favors No, but that stat may be limited by a small sample size. In their last 5 matches KuPS conceded 8 goals (1.6 per match) with xG against 1.76, while Oulu scored 9 goals (1.8 per match) and have xG 1.31 in the last 5, so form supports both teams scoring. Additionally, Oulu’s seasonal xG 1.56 is higher than KuPS’s home xG against 1.09, and the advantage in chances 14.5 vs 11 shots and 5.0 vs 2.0 shots on target and conversion 21% vs 9% increases the likelihood the visitors will score. Considering these figures and the league BTTS 39% with 72% clean sheets, I assign a higher probability to BTTS - Yes at 60% versus No at 40%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and shot metrics I estimate expected goals at KuPS 1.34 and Oulu 1.33, totaling 2.67 (xG: KuPS 1.19 vs Oulu 1.56; xG against: KuPS 1.09 vs Oulu 1.49). Oulu generates more chances — on average 14.5 shots and 5.0 on target with a 21% conversion rate, versus 11.0 shots and 2.0 on target and 9% for KuPS — and in the last 5 matches Oulu has scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) compared to KuPS’s 5 goals (1.0). A Poisson model with λ=2.67 yields approximately a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals, ~50% for Over 2.5 and ~27% for Over 3.5. Since the projected total 2.67 is also above the league average of 2.28, the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is the Over 1.5 bet (≈75%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The data clearly indicate an offensive edge for Oulu: the visitors have an average xG of 1.56 versus KuPS’s 1.19, average 5 shots on target compared to 2, and a conversion rate of 21% versus the hosts’ 9%, translating into substantially more goal-scoring opportunities. First-half indicators also favor Oulu — the average goals at the break are 1.5 for the visitors versus 0.0 for KuPS, and seasonally the visitors have led at the break in 100% of cases versus 0% for the hosts, so there is a high likelihood that Oulu will hold the lead after 45 minutes. KuPS does have strong home defensive figures (100% clean sheets at home and on average 0.0 goals conceded), but in form over the last five matches Oulu performs better — 60% wins vs. 40% for KuPS, and the visitors led at the break in 40% of their last five matches versus 20% for the hosts. Given the superior xG, greater number of shots on target and higher efficiency for the visitors, the most probable scenario is Oulu leading at half-time and winning the match (HT/FT 2/2); I assign this scenario a 49% probability, while a draw at half-time or a KuPS victory are considerably less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| KuPS | Oulu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Oulu is 29% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / game - KuPS · 3 pts / game - Oulu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oulu is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.67 goals / game - KuPS · 2.33 goals / game - Oulu
Oulu is 103% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - KuPS · 0.33 goals / game - Oulu
KuPS scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 meczów).
Oulu scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while KuPS keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KuPS
Over / Under - Oulu
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oulu is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - KuPS · 2.33 pts / game - Oulu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KuPS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Oulu - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
KuPS
Oulu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| KuPS | Liga | Oulu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.33 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 36% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from KuPS's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Oulu. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of KuPS vs Oulu?
The Veikkausliiga match finished KuPS 3:2 Oulu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KuPS and Oulu?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches KuPS won 1, Oulu won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KuPS vs Oulu?
KuPS score 1.67 goals per game on average and Oulu 2.33. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 67% of KuPS's matches and 33% of Oulu's.
What form are KuPS and Oulu in?
Over the last 5 games KuPS have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Oulu 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KuPS vs Oulu?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.