KuPS vs TPS: match statistics

KuPS lead the table with a record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and just 1 defeat, while TPS sit in 8th place after 7 wins and 7 losses. The hosts win 67% of their home matches, score an average of 2.00 goals, and have not lost a single game, whereas TPS are still without an away victory, scoring just 0.63 goals per match. KuPS also hold the edge in chance creation, averaging 15.11 shots and 5.33 shots on target, with an xG of 1.74, compared with 12.25 shots, 4 shots on target, and an xG of 1.49 for the visitors. TPS fail to score in 50% of their away matches, while their defense concedes an average of 1.38 goals and allows opponents an xG of 1.40, which favors the hosts. The last five matches also slightly favor KuPS, who won 3 games and conceded just 4 goals, compared with 2 wins for TPS and 7 goals conceded.

KuPS show a clearly better balance than TPS: they average 1.8 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded, while keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. The biggest argument against BTTS - Yes is TPS's poor attacking efficiency: they average just 0.63 goals per game this season, have failed to score in 50% of their matches, and have a shot conversion rate of only 5%. KuPS's current form further supports this scenario, having conceded just 4 goals in their last 5 matches, with BTTS occurring in only 20% of those games. TPS have recorded an xG of 1.58 across their last five appearances, but they are facing a team that regularly keeps clean sheets, making it more likely that at least one side will fail to score. Therefore, the BTTS - No outcome is preferred; this does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw, only that at least one team is expected not to score.

KuPS averages 1.8 goals at home, while TPS concedes 1.38 goals away, giving the hosts a solid projection of around 1.55 goals. At the same time, TPS scored only 0.63 goals per match during the away season, and KuPS kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, so the visitors’ attacking potential remains limited despite averaging 1.6 goals scored in their last five games. Across the full season, the matches involving both teams finished under 3.5 goals in 80% and 75% of cases, respectively, and neither team recorded matches involving at least four goals scored or conceded. The projected total of 2.40 goals points to a game with a realistic chance of two or three goals, but a significantly lower risk of four, making Under 3.5 the best option.

KuPS has a clear advantage over the course of the season: they win 70% of their matches and average 2.2 points per game, while TPS have not won a single match and average just 0.38 points. The hosts score an average of 1.80 goals, whereas TPS manage only 0.63 away from home, while also conceding 1.38 goals per match. KuPS were already leading at the break in 40% of their matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 70% of first halves, whereas TPS have not led at half-time even once and score just 0.25 goals on average. In their last five matches, KuPS went into half-time with the lead three times, while their defense conceded an average of only 0.20 goals in the first half. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that the hosts will take the lead before half-time and hold on to it until the final whistle.