Kuressaare vs Nõmme Kalju: match statistics
Kuressaare vs Nõmme Kalju: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kuressaare play Nõmme Kalju in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 16:00. Venue: Kuressaare linnastaadion. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Kuressaare: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Nõmme Kalju: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kuressaare scores 0.95 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Nõmme Kalju scores 1.65 and concedes 0.80. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kuressaare 50%, Nõmme Kalju 50%. Over 2.5: Kuressaare 55%, Nõmme Kalju 40%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Nõmme Kalju has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.43. Kuressaare: 11.4 shots per match, Nõmme Kalju: 15.0.
Match halves
Kuressaare: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Kuressaare: 76-90+ (6 goals). Nõmme Kalju: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 0-1-5. Average goals 2.17, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Nõmme Kalju are favorites for this match — they sit 2nd in the table and have recorded 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses this season, scoring 22 goals compared to Kuressaare’s 3 wins, 0 draws, 8 losses and 11 goals. The visitors’ defense is markedly superior: Nõmme Kalju concede just 0.2 goals per away game on average and keep a clean sheet in 80% of away matches, while the hosts concede 1.6 goals per home game on average and have 0% clean sheets. In chance creation the visitors also dominate — Nõmme Kalju average 1.84 xG for and 1.05 xG against, whereas Kuressaare have 1.43 xG for and 2.05 xG against; the visitors average 15.2 shots per match versus the hosts’ 10.8 and maintain 53% possession compared to 42% for the home side. The last five matches underline the visitors’ offensive edge: Nõmme Kalju scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches (2-0-3), while Kuressaare managed only 4 goals with a 1-0-4 record and conceded 7 goals versus the visitors’ 5 conceded. Although Kuressaare have a higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 9%) and slightly more shots on target (5 vs 4.4), the defensive advantage, superior xG (1.84 vs 1.43) and league position point to a bet on the visitors’ victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kuressaare | Nõmme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nõmme Kalju is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Kuressaare · 1.2 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme Kalju is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Kuressaare · 1.65 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju
Nõmme Kalju is 106% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Kuressaare · 0.8 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju
Kuressaare scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Nõmme Kalju scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kuressaare
Over / Under — Nõmme Kalju
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Kuressaare · 1.75 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kuressaare
Nõmme Kalju
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Kuressaare | Liga | Nõmme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 66% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 23% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 85% | 88% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Kuressaare 0 - 1 - 5 Nõmme Kalju. Average goals 2.17, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kuressaare vs Nõmme Kalju?
The Meistriliiga match finished Kuressaare 0:2 Nõmme Kalju. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Nõmme Kalju?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 0, Nõmme Kalju won 5 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kuressaare vs Nõmme Kalju?
Kuressaare score 0.95 goals per game on average and Nõmme Kalju 1.65. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kuressaare's matches and 50% of Nõmme Kalju's.
What form are Kuressaare and Nõmme Kalju in?
Over the last 5 games Kuressaare have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Nõmme Kalju 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kuressaare vs Nõmme Kalju?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.