Estonia - MeistriliigaKuressaare linnastaadionData current as of October 20, 2026

Kuressaare vs Paide: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kuressaare vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kuressaare plays Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Kuressaare linnastaadion.

Recent form

Kuressaare has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Paide has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Kuressaare scores 1.06 goals per game and allows 1.59. Paide scores 1.63 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 47% of Kuressaare's games and 66% of Paide's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 53%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Paide has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.45 per game. Kuressaare takes 11.6 shots per game, while Paide takes 14.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Kuressaare leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Paide leads at halftime in 34% and scores 0.94 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kuressaare's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Paide, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. Those games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.05)
(3.75)
(1.72)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.06Goals scored / game1.63
KuressaarePaide
1.59Goals allowed / game1.22
KuressaarePaide
40%Average possession55%
KuressaarePaide
4.16Shots on target / game4.78
KuressaarePaide

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.63Shots per game14.47
KuressaarePaide
4.16Shots on target4.78
KuressaarePaide
9.1%Shot conversion11.2%
KuressaarePaide
40%Possession55%
KuressaarePaide
1.45xG for1.75
KuressaarePaide
1.97xG against1.62
KuressaarePaide

Shooting quality

Kuressaare: BalancedPaide: Dominant
KuressaarePaide
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Paide is 71% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Kuressaare · 2.4 pts / game - Paide

Kuressaare
LDWWL
Season result split
31% W16% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-17
1.09 pts / game · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-7
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Paide
WWLWW
Season result split
53% W19% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-6-9
1.78 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
7-5-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 2.01BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paide is 54% better for: goals scored per game.

1.06 goals / game - Kuressaare · 1.63 goals / game - Paide

Paide is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.59 goals / game - Kuressaare · 1.22 goals / game - Paide

Kuressaare scoring profile: strong

Kuressaare scores in 53% of games (17 of 32 games), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 games).

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 88% of games (28 of 32 games), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 games).

34Goals scored (season)52
KuressaarePaide
51Goals conceded (season)39
KuressaarePaide
2.66Average goals per game2.84
KuressaarePaide
4Goals scored (last 5)9
KuressaarePaide
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
KuressaarePaide

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal88%
KuressaarePaide
34%2 goals50%
KuressaarePaide
19%3 goals19%
KuressaarePaide
0%4 goals6%
KuressaarePaide

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal78%
KuressaarePaide
53%2 goals28%
KuressaarePaide
16%3 goals9%
KuressaarePaide
6%4 goals3%
KuressaarePaide

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time25%
KuressaarePaide
3%BTTS in both halves6%
KuressaarePaide
22%Scored in both halves44%
KuressaarePaide

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
KuressaarePaide
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
KuressaarePaide
20%BTTS - last 560%
KuressaarePaide

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
KuressaarePaide
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
KuressaarePaide
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
KuressaarePaide

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
KuressaarePaide
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
KuressaarePaide
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
KuressaarePaide

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.09 pts / game - Kuressaare · 1.53 pts / game - Paide

Kuressaare - half-time state
25% leading34% draw41% trailing
Paide - half-time state
34% leading50% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.09Points per game (1st half)1.53
KuressaarePaide
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.69
KuressaarePaide
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
KuressaarePaide
1.16Average goals (1st half)1.22
KuressaarePaide
50%Clean sheet before half-time66%
KuressaarePaide
63%No goal before half-time44%
KuressaarePaide

After half-time (2nd half)

0.84Points per game (2nd half)1.75
KuressaarePaide
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
KuressaarePaide
0.97Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
KuressaarePaide
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.63
KuressaarePaide
31%Clean sheet after half-time47%
KuressaarePaide
63%No goal after half-time25%
KuressaarePaide

Kuressaare - second-half results

16% W38% D47% L
35
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Paide - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
49
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
56
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kuressaare - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.20.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Paide - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.202.00
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.01.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kuressaare
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
5
10
16-30
9
6
31-45
2
8
46-60
5
11
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Paide
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
9
7
16-30
7
4
31-45
9
3
46-60
7
8
61-75
14
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kuressaare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

KuressaareLigaPaide
Average goals per game▼ 2.663.09▼ 2.84
Both teams scored▼ 47%56%▲ 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 53%64%▼ 53%
Clean sheets▼ 16%23%• 22%
Goal before half-time▼ 72%77%▼ 66%
Goal after half-time▼ 81%88%▲ 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.09
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / game
1.32
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Kuressaare's perspective: 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses against Paide. Games average 2.43 goals, and both teams scored in 71% of them.

Paide
1 : 0
Kuressaare
Paide
1 : 1
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
0 : 1
Paide
FC Kuressaare
1 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
5 : 1
FC Kuressaare
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 1
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond

FAQ

When do Kuressaare and Paide play?

Kuressaare face Paide on October 24, 2026 in Meistriliiga at Kuressaare linnastaadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Paide?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 0, Paide won 4 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kuressaare vs Paide?

Kuressaare score 1.06 goals per game on average and Paide 1.63. The Meistriliiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Kuressaare's matches and 66% of Paide's.

What form are Kuressaare and Paide in?

Over the last 5 games Kuressaare have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Paide 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kuressaare vs Paide?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kuressaare vs Paide: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.