Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics
Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kuressaare played against Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Kuressaare has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Tallinna FC Levadia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Kuressaare scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.89. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.67 and allows 0.78. Games in this league average 3.27 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Kuressaare's games and 67% of Tallinna FC Levadia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 67%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tallinna FC Levadia has the higher season xG average, 2.10 to 1.53 per game. Kuressaare takes 12.0 shots per game, while Tallinna FC Levadia takes 17.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Kuressaare leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Tallinna FC Levadia leads at halftime in 56% and scores 1.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kuressaare's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Tallinna FC Levadia, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Meistriliiga games average 3.27 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 5 away wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tallinna FC Levadia is the favorite based on the table and form — they sit 1st with 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats, while Kuressaare are 8th with 3 wins and 6 losses. In the last 5 matches Levadia scored 16 goals and have 4 wins and 1 draw (2.6 points per game), whereas Kuressaare have 7 goals with 2 wins and 3 losses (1.2 points per game). Away, Levadia averages 19.67 shots with 6.67 on target and an average xG of 2.36, while Kuressaare at home record 12.25 shots, 5.5 on target and xG 1.58, indicating an advantage for the visitors in chance creation. Defensively Levadia concede 1.0 goal per away match with an opposing xG of 0.96 and have a 0% away loss rate, whereas Kuressaare concede 1.5 goals in home games with opposing xG 1.61, have no clean sheets at home (CS% 0) and failed to score in 50% of home fixtures (FTS 50%). Considering the superiority in possession (61% vs 44%), average goals (2.0 away for Levadia vs 1.5 home for Kuressaare) and the clear differences in xG and shot volume, I assign 70% probability to a Levadia win, 20% to a draw and 10% to a home upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In my forecast I pick "BTTS - Yes" with an 80% probability versus 20% for "No". The strongest signal is Tallinna FC Levadia, who have a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 0% clean sheets away, meaning in every away match this season they have both scored and conceded. Kuressaare have BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches and average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game (7 scored and 8 conceded in 5 matches), so recent form also favors goals from both sides. xG and shot metrics tell the same story: Levadia generate on average 2.36 xG versus 1.97 xG for Kuressaare, and shots on target are about 6.67 vs 6.17, which confirms genuine chances for both teams. Additionally, the league has 56% BTTS matches and an average of 3.33 goals per game, and Levadia’s superior scoring (24 goals in the season vs 10 for Kuressaare) further increases the likelihood that both teams will find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I assess that the match will produce over 3 goals: expected goals are 1.39 for Kuressaare and 1.84 for Tallinna FC Levadia, total 3.23. Both teams have 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals this season, and over 2.5 occurred in 67% of their fixtures this season and in 80% of the last 5 matches, which strongly supports the Over 2.5 market. I calculated xG forecasts using two methods: the seasonal method gives ~1.47 for the home side (1.97 xG for Kuressaare vs 0.96 xG conceded by Levadia) and ~1.67 for the away side (2.36 xG Levadia vs 0.97 xG conceded by the hosts), while the last-5-matches method gives ~1.31 and ~2.02; averaging these yields 1.39 and 1.84. Additionally, Kuressaare has a high conversion rate of 19% with an average of 16.17 shots (6.17 on target), and Levadia averages 19.67 shots with 6.67 on target at a 10% conversion; Levadia scored 16 goals in the last 5 matches, Kuressaare 7, confirming the visitors’ attacking edge. On this basis I recommend the Over side at the 2.5 line as the strongest signal (ou_pred_over_25=78), while Over 1.5 is almost certain (ou_pred_over_15=98), and Over 3.5 remains moderately likely (ou_pred_over_35=44).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kuressaare led at half-time in 4 of their league matches to date (67%) and average 1.5 first-half goals versus 0.67 for Tallinna FC Levadia, which favors them on HT. At the same time Levadia have a higher xG — 2.36 versus the hosts’ 1.97 — and strong form: 4 wins in their last 5 matches (80%), which increases their chances of a turnaround after the break. In the second half the visitors show a positive goal balance of +5 in their last 5 post-break performances and average 1.6 goals scored after half-time, raising the probability they will recover the deficit. Considering also the hosts’ high percentage of clean sheets at half-time (83%) and Kuressaare’s higher shot conversion rate of 19% versus 10% for the visitors, the most likely scenario is Kuressaare leading at the break and Levadia winning the match (HT/FT 1/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kuressaare | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Kuressaare · 2.6 pts / game - Tallinna FC Levadia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 141% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Kuressaare · 2.67 goals / game - Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia is 142% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.89 goals / game - Kuressaare · 0.78 goals / game - Tallinna FC Levadia
Kuressaare scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 meczów), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 meczów), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kuressaare
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Levadia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 215% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / game - Kuressaare · 2.11 pts / game - Tallinna FC Levadia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kuressaare
Tallinna FC Levadia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Kuressaare | Liga | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.00 | 3.27 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 67% | • 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 92% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Kuressaare's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses against Tallinna FC Levadia. Games average 2.60 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The Meistriliiga match finished Kuressaare 1:2 Tallinna FC Levadia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Tallinna FC Levadia?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 0, Tallinna FC Levadia won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
Kuressaare score 1.11 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.67. The Meistriliiga average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Kuressaare's matches and 67% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.
What form are Kuressaare and Tallinna FC Levadia in?
Over the last 5 games Kuressaare have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The statistical background for Kuressaare vs Tallinna FC Levadia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.