KV Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp FC: match statistics

Royal Antwerp FC go into the match in 5th place, while KV Kortrijk are only 17th, with the gap also reflected in the start of the season: the visitors won their only match 2:1, whereas the hosts lost 0:3. In their last five matches, Antwerp collected 8 points thanks to 2 wins and 2 draws, suffering just one defeat, while Kortrijk managed only 4 points from 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses. Kortrijk’s defense looks less reliable, having conceded 9 goals in their last five appearances—an average of 1.8 per match—compared with the 5 goals conceded by their opponents. The hosts have scored 4 goals during this period, but Antwerp have found the net 5 times and already demonstrated greater efficiency on the opening matchday by scoring twice. The visitors’ stronger current form, more solid defense and higher league position all point towards an away win, although a draw remains a realistic outcome given Antwerp’s two draws in their last five matches.

The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by Kortrijk’s weak defensive record: in their last five matches, the hosts conceded an average of 1.8 goals, while Antwerp scored 1.0 goal per game over the same period. Kortrijk averaged only 0.8 goals per match across their last five, but their xG stood at 1.40, while Antwerp allowed opponents an xG of 1.86. The visitors created chances worth an average of 1.55 xG, which aligns well with the high number of goals conceded by the hosts. Both teams had BTTS in 40% of their last five matches, but the league average is as high as 78%, and the defensive profile of both sides increases the likelihood of a goal from each team. The BTTS scenario is therefore moderately more likely, although Kortrijk’s limited finishing efficiency prevents it from being rated as a very strong favorite.

Kortrijk’s last five matches produced an average of 2.6 goals, with the hosts scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. Over the same period, Antwerp were involved in matches averaging 2.0 goals, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Their offensive potential according to xG is moderate: Kortrijk created an average of 1.40 xG, while Antwerp recorded 1.55 xG, pointing to a projection of approximately 2.55 total goals. Although 60% of Kortrijk’s and 40% of Antwerp’s recent matches went Over 2.5 goals, only 40% of matches involving either team saw both sides score. The Under 3.5 goals line has the edge, as it takes at least four goals to lose this bet, while the teams’ current profiles more often point to a 2-3-goal outcome.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Royal Antwerp victory at full-time, as Kortrijk have scored only 0.8 goals per match in their last five games and have lost 60% of them. Antwerp have shown more stable late-game form: during this period, they won 40% of their matches, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded, compared with the hosts’ average of 1.8 goals conceded. The first half should be more evenly balanced, as Kortrijk have scored 0.6 goals per match before the break, while Antwerp have managed just 0.2; at the same time, both teams recorded a 20% rate of half-time draws. After the interval, the visitors’ advantage increases: Antwerp have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded, while Kortrijk have conceded 1.2 goals and lost the second half in 80% of their last five appearances. The hosts’ seasonal data from a single home match, in which they won 3–1 with an xG of 2.14, is too limited a sample to outweigh Antwerp’s clearly superior current form.