KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden: match statistics
KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
KV Mechelen played against Sint-Truiden in Pro League (Belgium). The game was played on April 26, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
KV Mechelen has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Sint-Truiden has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
KV Mechelen scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.38. Sint-Truiden scores 1.47 and allows 1.12. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of KV Mechelen's games and 53% of Sint-Truiden's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 53%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sint-Truiden has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.23 per game. KV Mechelen takes 10.0 shots per game, while Sint-Truiden takes 13.9.
First-half and second-half trends
KV Mechelen leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Sint-Truiden leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
KV Mechelen's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Sint-Truiden, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Pro League games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sint‑Truiden are favorites on paper: the visitors sit 3rd in the table, have 19 wins this season versus KV Mechelen’s 12 and have scored 50 goals compared to 42. They hold an offensive and quality edge – average away xG is 1.44 versus the home side’s xG at home of 1.27, and average shots are 12.59 (away) vs 10.65 (home) with 3.71 shots on target per game vs 3.59. Recent form confirms the gap: Mechelen in their last 5 matches have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 14 (avg 2.8 conceded per game and roughly 0.2 points per game), whereas Sint‑Truiden in that period have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (about 0.8 points per game). Still, Mechelen have home strengths — only 18% of home fixtures without scoring and 24% clean sheets at home versus 18% for away teams — which reduces the probability of a complete home collapse. Considering these numbers, I back a Sint‑Truiden win; I estimate probabilities as 55% for the visitors, 25% for a draw and 20% for the home side.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators for both teams are similar: KV Mechelen 53% and Sint‑Truiden 53%, against a league BTTS average of 55%, suggesting a moderate tendency toward Goal/Goal outcomes. In the last 5 matches KV Mechelen had BTTS in 80% of games and conceded on average 2.8 goals per match, while Sint‑Truiden had BTTS in 40% and conceded on average 1.2 goals, showing an asymmetry in recent form. Over the season Sint‑Truiden scored 50 and conceded 38, and Mechelen scored 42 and conceded 47; xG stands at 1.72 for Mechelen and 1.44 for Sint‑Truiden, with xG against around 1.43 and 1.42, indicating both sides generate and allow chances. Limiting factors for BTTS are 35% of matches in which Sint‑Truiden fail to score, and 35% clean sheets for Mechelen — i.e. a realistic chance of one side keeping a clean sheet. However, given Mechelen’s high recent BTTS rate (80%), Mechelen’s higher xG (1.72) and the league trend of 55%, I forecast a slightly higher probability for BTTS - Yes 60% vs No 40%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and attacking metrics, I project a higher-scoring game: KV Mechelen has average xG 1.72 and 4.94 shots on target, Sint-Truiden has xG 1.44 and 3.71 shots on target; after adjusting for opponent xG I arrive at expected goals of 1.57 for the home side and 1.44 for the visitors (total 3.01). Seasonal rates support this bias: Over 1.5 occurred in 76% of matches for both teams, Over 2.5 occurred in 59% of Mechelen’s matches and 47% of Sint-Truiden’s (average ~53%). Additionally, Mechelen conceded 14 goals in the last 5 matches (2.8 per match) and had 60% of those matches over 2.5, which significantly increases the likelihood of at least 3 goals in the upcoming game. Both teams have a BTTS rate of 53% this season, indicating both sides can score — combined with a high total xG of 3.01 this favors Over 2.5. Therefore I recommend a stake on Over 2.5 as the strongest signal; I estimate Over 2.5 at about 62% probability, Over 1.5 at 84%, and Over 3.5 at 28%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
KV Mechelen led at the break in 9 matches (53% of games), while Sint‑Truiden led at the break in only 3 matches (18%), indicating a home-side advantage in the first 45 minutes. The hosts score on average 0.76 goals by half-time with an xG of 1.72 and 4.94 shots on target, whereas the visitors average 0.59 HT goals, xG 1.44 and 3.71 shots on target, so Mechelen generates more high-quality chances. Over full matches Mechelen wins 65% of games and averages 1.53 goals, while Sint‑Truiden wins 47% and averages 1.41 goals, which increases the hosts’ probability of a full-time victory. Additionally, the hosts keep a clean sheet in 35% of home games and record only 6% draws, therefore the strongest signal from the data is Mechelen leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| KV Mechelen | Sint-Truiden | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sint-Truiden is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - KV Mechelen · 0.8 pts / game - Sint-Truiden
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sint-Truiden is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.24 goals / game - KV Mechelen · 1.47 goals / game - Sint-Truiden
Sint-Truiden is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - KV Mechelen · 1.12 goals / game - Sint-Truiden
KV Mechelen scores in 85% of games (29 of 34 meczów), while Sint-Truiden keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 meczów).
Sint-Truiden scores in 76% of games (26 of 34 meczów), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KV Mechelen
Over / Under - Sint-Truiden
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KV Mechelen is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / game - KV Mechelen · 1.5 pts / game - Sint-Truiden
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 35%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sint-Truiden - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
KV Mechelen
Sint-Truiden
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KV Mechelen | Liga | Sint-Truiden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.62 | 2.63 | • 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from KV Mechelen's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Sint-Truiden. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
The Pro League match finished KV Mechelen 1:4 Sint-Truiden. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KV Mechelen and Sint-Truiden?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches KV Mechelen won 0, Sint-Truiden won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
KV Mechelen score 1.24 goals per game on average and Sint-Truiden 1.47. The Pro League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 65% of KV Mechelen's matches and 53% of Sint-Truiden's.
What form are KV Mechelen and Sint-Truiden in?
Over the last 5 games KV Mechelen have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Sint-Truiden 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
The statistical background for KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.