KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden: match statistics
KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KV Mechelen play Sint-Truiden in Pro League (Belgium). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
KV Mechelen: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Sint-Truiden: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
KV Mechelen scores 1.20 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Sint-Truiden scores 1.53 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KV Mechelen 63%, Sint-Truiden 55%. Over 2.5: KV Mechelen 48%, Sint-Truiden 55%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Sint-Truiden has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.20. KV Mechelen: 9.8 shots per match, Sint-Truiden: 13.8.
Match halves
KV Mechelen: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Sint-Truiden: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
KV Mechelen: 76-90+ (11 goals). Sint-Truiden: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Sint‑Truiden are favorites on paper: the visitors sit 3rd in the table, have 19 wins this season versus KV Mechelen’s 12 and have scored 50 goals compared to 42. They hold an offensive and quality edge – average away xG is 1.44 versus the home side’s xG at home of 1.27, and average shots are 12.59 (away) vs 10.65 (home) with 3.71 shots on target per game vs 3.59. Recent form confirms the gap: Mechelen in their last 5 matches have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 14 (avg 2.8 conceded per game and roughly 0.2 points per game), whereas Sint‑Truiden in that period have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (about 0.8 points per game). Still, Mechelen have home strengths — only 18% of home fixtures without scoring and 24% clean sheets at home versus 18% for away teams — which reduces the probability of a complete home collapse. Considering these numbers, I back a Sint‑Truiden win; I estimate probabilities as 55% for the visitors, 25% for a draw and 20% for the home side.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KV Mechelen | Sint-Truiden | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sint-Truiden is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - KV Mechelen · 1.4 pts / match - Sint-Truiden
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sint-Truiden is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - KV Mechelen · 1.53 goals / match - Sint-Truiden
Sint-Truiden is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - KV Mechelen · 1.15 goals / match - Sint-Truiden
KV Mechelen scores in 83% of matches (33 of 40 matches), while Sint-Truiden keeps a clean sheet in 25% (10 of 40 matches).
Sint-Truiden scores in 78% of matches (31 of 40 matches), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 23% (9 of 40 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — KV Mechelen
Over / Under — Sint-Truiden
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KV Mechelen is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - KV Mechelen · 1.4 pts / match - Sint-Truiden
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sint-Truiden - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KV Mechelen
Sint-Truiden
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KV Mechelen | Liga | Sint-Truiden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.73 | 2.67 | • 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): KV Mechelen 0 - 0 - 3 Sint-Truiden. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
The Pro League match finished KV Mechelen 1:4 Sint-Truiden. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KV Mechelen and Sint-Truiden?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches KV Mechelen won 0, Sint-Truiden won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
KV Mechelen score 1.20 goals per game on average and Sint-Truiden 1.53. The Pro League average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 63% of KV Mechelen's matches and 55% of Sint-Truiden's.
What form are KV Mechelen and Sint-Truiden in?
Over the last 5 games KV Mechelen have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sint-Truiden 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden?
The statistical background for KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.