KV Mechelen vs Zulte-Waregem: match statistics
KV Mechelen presents solid home form with 31% wins and only 23% losses at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference (+1) in home matches. Zulte-Waregem performs significantly worse away, losing 46% of matches and holding a negative goal difference (-6), with only 15% of matches won as a guest. Form over the last five matches clearly favors the hosts (1.6 points per game) compared to the visitors (0.6 points per game), who have lost four of their last five games. xG statistics show an advantage for the hosts (1.31 vs 1.26 xGFor), as well as a better defense for KV Mechelen in home matches (1.15 goals conceded) than Zulte-Waregem away (1.85 goals conceded). The hosts' high draw percentage (46%) suggests a sharing of points cannot be ruled out, yet all indicators point to an advantage for KV Mechelen in this clash.
KV Mechelen vs Zulte-Waregem: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
KV Mechelen played against Zulte-Waregem in Pro League (Belgium). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
KV Mechelen has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Zulte-Waregem has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
KV Mechelen scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 1.12. Zulte-Waregem scores 1.38 and allows 1.62. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of KV Mechelen's games and 65% of Zulte-Waregem's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 50%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Zulte-Waregem has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.27 per game. KV Mechelen takes 10.4 shots per game, while Zulte-Waregem takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
KV Mechelen leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Zulte-Waregem leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
KV Mechelen's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Zulte-Waregem, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Pro League games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KV Mechelen presents solid home form with 31% wins and only 23% losses at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference (+1) in home matches. Zulte-Waregem performs significantly worse away, losing 46% of matches and holding a negative goal difference (-6), with only 15% of matches won as a guest. Form over the last five matches clearly favors the hosts (1.6 points per game) compared to the visitors (0.6 points per game), who have lost four of their last five games. xG statistics show an advantage for the hosts (1.31 vs 1.26 xGFor), as well as a better defense for KV Mechelen in home matches (1.15 goals conceded) than Zulte-Waregem away (1.85 goals conceded). The hosts' high draw percentage (46%) suggests a sharing of points cannot be ruled out, yet all indicators point to an advantage for KV Mechelen in this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| KV Mechelen | Zulte-Waregem | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
KV Mechelen is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - KV Mechelen · 0.6 pts / game - Zulte-Waregem
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zulte-Waregem is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - KV Mechelen · 1.38 goals / game - Zulte-Waregem
KV Mechelen is 45% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.12 goals / game - KV Mechelen · 1.62 goals / game - Zulte-Waregem
KV Mechelen scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 meczów), while Zulte-Waregem keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
Zulte-Waregem scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 meczów), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KV Mechelen
Over / Under - Zulte-Waregem
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KV Mechelen is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.81 pts / game - KV Mechelen · 1.15 pts / game - Zulte-Waregem
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 38%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Zulte-Waregem - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
KV Mechelen
Zulte-Waregem
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KV Mechelen | Liga | Zulte-Waregem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.42 | 2.61 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from KV Mechelen's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Zulte-Waregem. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of KV Mechelen vs Zulte-Waregem?
The Pro League match finished KV Mechelen 2:1 Zulte-Waregem. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KV Mechelen vs Zulte-Waregem?
KV Mechelen score 1.31 goals per game on average and Zulte-Waregem 1.38. The Pro League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 62% of KV Mechelen's matches and 65% of Zulte-Waregem's.
What form are KV Mechelen and Zulte-Waregem in?
Over the last 5 games KV Mechelen have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Zulte-Waregem 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KV Mechelen vs Zulte-Waregem?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.