Kwara United vs Bayelsa United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kwara United play Bayelsa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 21 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Kwara United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Bayelsa United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kwara United scores 0.92 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Bayelsa United scores 0.97 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kwara United 34%, Bayelsa United 47%. Over 2.5: Kwara United 29%, Bayelsa United 32%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Bayelsa United has higher xG: 1.24 vs 0.99. Kwara United: 3.6 shots per match, Bayelsa United: 6.6.

Match halves

Kwara United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.34. Bayelsa United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Kwara United: 31-45+ (10 goals). Bayelsa United: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
-1Shots-1
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
-1Shots on target-1
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0xG0
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
-1Corners-1
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0Dangerous attacks0
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
-1Fouls-1
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
-1Cards-1
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0.92Goals scored / match0.97
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0.95Goals conceded / match1.11
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
25%Average possession36%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0.92Shots on target / match1.95
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

3.61Shots per match6.58
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0.92Shots on target1.95
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
25.5%Shot conversion14.8%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
25%Possession36%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0.99xG for1.24
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
1.4xG against1.5
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United

Shooting quality

Kwara United: Counter-attackingBayelsa United: Counter-attacking
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
Accuracy (shots on target)25%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.270.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)1.000.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kwara United is 167% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Kwara United · 0.6 pts / match - Bayelsa United

Kwara United
DWDWL
Season result split
34% W29% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-11-14
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-5-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.49Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Bayelsa United
LLLLW
Season result split
29% W26% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-17
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-6-11
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bayelsa United is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

0.92 goals / match - Kwara United · 0.97 goals / match - Bayelsa United

Kwara United is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Kwara United · 1.11 goals / match - Bayelsa United

Kwara United scoring profile: strong

Kwara United scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Bayelsa United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).

Bayelsa United scoring profile: mixed

Bayelsa United scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).

35Goals scored (season)37
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
36Goals conceded (season)42
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
1.87Average goals in match2.08
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal61%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
32%2 goals26%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
5%3 goals5%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0%4 goals5%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal79%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
18%2 goals24%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
11%3 goals5%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
3%4 goals3%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time24%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
5%BTTS in both halves3%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
21%Scored in both halves18%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
40%BTTS - last 540%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United

2nd half

55%Min. 1 goal after half-time66%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kwara United is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / match - Kwara United · 1.24 pts / match - Bayelsa United

Kwara United - half-time state
29% leading50% draw21% trailing
Bayelsa United - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.24
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.47
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
1Average goals (1st half)1
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
63%Clean sheet before half-time58%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
53%No goal before half-time53%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0.34Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
0.87Average goals (2nd half)1.08
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
61%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United
71%No goal after half-time68%
Kwara UnitedBayelsa United

Kwara United - second-half results

18% W55% R26% P
52
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bayelsa United - second-half results

18% W45% R37% P
47
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kwara United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.60
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+4-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Bayelsa United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kwara United
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
6
9
16-30
10
5
31-45
3
6
46-60
3
7
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Bayelsa United
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
8
4
16-30
5
11
31-45
5
6
46-60
8
4
61-75
6
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.98
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+103%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kwara United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
164%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Bayelsa United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Kwara UnitedLigaBayelsa United
Average goals in match 1.872.02 2.08
Both teams scored 34%38% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%34% 32%
Clean sheets 37%37% 21%
Goal before half-time 66%61% 66%
Goal after half-time 55%64% 66%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Kwara United 0 - 0 - 1 Bayelsa United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Kwara United vs Bayelsa United?

The NPFL match finished Kwara United 2:0 Bayelsa United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kwara United vs Bayelsa United?

Kwara United score 0.92 goals per game on average and Bayelsa United 0.97. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Kwara United's matches and 47% of Bayelsa United's.

What form are Kwara United and Bayelsa United in?

Over the last 5 games Kwara United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bayelsa United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kwara United vs Bayelsa United?

The statistical background for Kwara United vs Bayelsa United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.