Kwara United vs Kano Pillars: match statistics
Kwara United are in significantly better form in home matches, boasting a 64% win rate and a goal difference of +9. The hosts average 1.27 goals per game at home while conceding just 0.45, giving them a solid defensive edge. Kano Pillars, on the other hand, perform very poorly away from home with only an 8% win rate and a disastrous goal difference of -12, conceding an average of 1.42 goals per away game. The visitors fail to score in 67% of their away matches, and their losing streak in recent away games confirms their very poor form. Considering the hosts' xG advantage (1.30 vs 1.04 for the visitors), ball possession control (52% vs 47%), and Kwara United's significantly better offensive and defensive statistics at their home ground, everything points to a clear home victory.
Kwara United vs Kano Pillars: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kwara United played against Kano Pillars in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Kwara United has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Kano Pillars has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Kwara United scores 0.79 goals per game and allows 0.92. Kano Pillars scores 0.80 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Kwara United's games and 32% of Kano Pillars's. The Over 2.5 rates are 21% and 28%, compared with league averages of 35% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kano Pillars has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.03 per game. Kwara United takes 4.0 shots per game, while Kano Pillars takes 3.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Kwara United leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Kano Pillars leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.32 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kwara United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Kano Pillars, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.82 goals. Both teams score in 35% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kwara United are in significantly better form in home matches, boasting a 64% win rate and a goal difference of +9. The hosts average 1.27 goals per game at home while conceding just 0.45, giving them a solid defensive edge. Kano Pillars, on the other hand, perform very poorly away from home with only an 8% win rate and a disastrous goal difference of -12, conceding an average of 1.42 goals per away game. The visitors fail to score in 67% of their away matches, and their losing streak in recent away games confirms their very poor form. Considering the hosts' xG advantage (1.30 vs 1.04 for the visitors), ball possession control (52% vs 47%), and Kwara United's significantly better offensive and defensive statistics at their home ground, everything points to a clear home victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kwara United | Kano Pillars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 18% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 | 0.47 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.73 | 1.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kano Pillars is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Kwara United · 1.2 pts / game - Kano Pillars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kwara United is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.92 goals / game - Kwara United · 1 goals / game - Kano Pillars
Kwara United scores in 46% of games (11 of 24 meczów), while Kano Pillars keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).
Kano Pillars scores in 56% of games (14 of 25 meczów), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kwara United
Over / Under - Kano Pillars
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kano Pillars is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Kwara United · 1.36 pts / game - Kano Pillars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Kano Pillars - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kwara United
Kano Pillars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Kwara United | Liga | Kano Pillars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.71 | 1.82 | • 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 35% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Kwara United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Kano Pillars. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kwara United vs Kano Pillars?
The NPFL match finished Kwara United 1:1 Kano Pillars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kwara United vs Kano Pillars?
Kwara United score 0.79 goals per game on average and Kano Pillars 0.80. The NPFL average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Kwara United's matches and 32% of Kano Pillars's.
What form are Kwara United and Kano Pillars in?
Over the last 5 games Kwara United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Kano Pillars 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kwara United vs Kano Pillars?
The statistical background for Kwara United vs Kano Pillars — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.