Nigeria - NPFLIlorin Township StadiumData current as of September 20, 2026

Kwara United vs Nasarawa United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kwara United vs Nasarawa United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kwara United plays Nasarawa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The game is scheduled for September 23, 2026. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium.

Recent form

Kwara United has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.33 points per game. Nasarawa United has 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 1.50 points per game.

Scoring records

Kwara United scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.00. Nasarawa United scores 1.00 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Kwara United's games and 50% of Nasarawa United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 50%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Nasarawa United has the higher season xG average, 1.93 to 0.57 per game. Kwara United takes 0.3 shots per game, while Nasarawa United takes 5.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Kwara United leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. Nasarawa United leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kwara United's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Nasarawa United, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NPFL games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
1.67Goals scored / game1
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
1Goals allowed / game1.5
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
13%Average possession27%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
-0.33Shots on target / game2.5
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

0.33Shots per game5
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
-0.33Shots on target2.5
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
500%Shot conversion20%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
13%Possession27%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
0.57xG for1.93
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
1.65xG against1.43
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United

Shooting quality

Kwara United: Counter-attackingNasarawa United: Counter-attacking
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
Accuracy (shots on target)-100%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)1.730.39
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.000.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nasarawa United is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.33 pts / game - Kwara United · 1.5 pts / game - Nasarawa United

Kwara United
DLW
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.57Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 67%
Nasarawa United
LW
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.93Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kwara United is 67% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - Kwara United · 1 goals / game - Nasarawa United

Kwara United is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Kwara United · 1.5 goals / game - Nasarawa United

Kwara United scoring profile: mixed

Kwara United scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

Nasarawa United scoring profile: very strong

Nasarawa United scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).

5Goals scored (season)2
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
3Goals conceded (season)3
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
2.67Average goals per game2.5
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
5Goals scored (last 5)2
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal100%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
67%2 goals0%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
33%3 goals0%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
0%4 goals0%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal50%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
33%2 goals50%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
0%3 goals50%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
0%4 goals0%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time50%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
33%Scored in both halves0%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
33%BTTS - last 550%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kwara United - half-time state
33% leading0% draw67% trailing
Nasarawa United - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
1.33Average goals (1st half)1
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
33%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
67%No goal before half-time50%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per game (2nd half)1.5
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
100%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
33%No goal after half-time50%
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United

Kwara United - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-1.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nasarawa United - second-half results

50% W0% D50% L
2
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kwara United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.33
Goals scored / game0.31.3
Goals allowed / game1.00.0
Average goals per game1.31.3
1 goal100%67%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet33%100%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 33% leading - 0% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Nasarawa United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.50
Goals scored / game0.50.5
Goals allowed / game0.51.0
Average goals per game1.01.5
1 goal50%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kwara United
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Nasarawa United
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-42%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kwara United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.75
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Nasarawa United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.93
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Kwara UnitedLigaNasarawa United
Average goals per game 2.672.56 2.50
Both teams scored 33%48% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%52% 50%
Clean sheets 33%31% 50%
Goal before half-time 100%78% 50%
Goal after half-time 67%74% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / game
0.78
Away goals / game
+128%
Home attack advantage
+56%
Home defensive advantage
+60%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Kwara United's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Nasarawa United. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Kwara United
1 : 0
Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United
1 : 1
Kwara United

FAQ

When do Kwara United and Nasarawa United play?

Kwara United face Nasarawa United on September 23, 2026 in NPFL at Ilorin Township Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kwara United and Nasarawa United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kwara United won 1, Nasarawa United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kwara United vs Nasarawa United?

Kwara United score 1.67 goals per game on average and Nasarawa United 1.00. The NPFL average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Kwara United's matches and 50% of Nasarawa United's.

What form are Kwara United and Nasarawa United in?

Over the last 5 games Kwara United have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Nasarawa United 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kwara United vs Nasarawa United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kwara United vs Nasarawa United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.