Nigeria - NPFLIlorin Township StadiumData current as of October 03, 2026

Kwara United vs Ranchers Bees: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kwara United vs Ranchers Bees: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kwara United plays Ranchers Bees in NPFL (Nigeria). The game is scheduled for October 4, 2026. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium.

Recent form

Kwara United has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Ranchers Bees has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Kwara United scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.00. Ranchers Bees scores 1.33 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.42 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Kwara United's games and 50% of Ranchers Bees's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Ranchers Bees has the higher season xG average, 1.13 to 0.57 per game. Kwara United takes -0.2 shots per game, while Ranchers Bees takes 4.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Kwara United leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Ranchers Bees leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.83 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kwara United's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Ranchers Bees, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NPFL games average 2.42 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
1.17Goals scored / game1.33
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
1Goals allowed / game1.33
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
13%Average possession31%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
-0.5Shots on target / game1.67
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

-0.17Shots per game4.67
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
-0.5Shots on target1.67
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
-700%Shot conversion28.6%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
13%Possession31%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
0.57xG for1.13
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
1.65xG against1.59
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees

Shooting quality

Kwara United: BalancedRanchers Bees: Counter-attacking
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
Accuracy (shots on target)0%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.000.24
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.000.80

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ranchers Bees is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Kwara United · 1.4 pts / game - Ranchers Bees

Kwara United
LWLWL
Season result split
33% W17% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.57Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Ranchers Bees
WLWLD
Season result split
33% W17% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ranchers Bees is 14% better for: goals scored per game.

1.17 goals / game - Kwara United · 1.33 goals / game - Ranchers Bees

Kwara United is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Kwara United · 1.33 goals / game - Ranchers Bees

Kwara United scoring profile: mixed

Kwara United scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 games), while Ranchers Bees keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).

Ranchers Bees scoring profile: very strong

Ranchers Bees scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 games), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).

7Goals scored (season)8
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
6Goals conceded (season)8
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
2.17Average goals per game2.67
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal67%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
50%2 goals33%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
17%3 goals17%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
0%4 goals17%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal67%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
17%2 goals33%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
0%3 goals33%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
0%4 goals0%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
33%Scored in both halves17%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
20%BTTS - last 540%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ranchers Bees is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.83 pts / game - Kwara United · 1 pts / game - Ranchers Bees

Kwara United - half-time state
17% leading33% draw50% trailing
Ranchers Bees - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.83Points per game (1st half)1
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
1.17Average goals (1st half)1
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
33%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
67%No goal before half-time67%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees

After half-time (2nd half)

1.83Points per game (2nd half)1.17
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
0.17Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
1Average goals (2nd half)1.67
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
83%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees
50%No goal after half-time50%
Kwara UnitedRanchers Bees

Kwara United - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.7

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ranchers Bees - second-half results

33% W17% D50% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kwara United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.00.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ranchers Bees - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game0.61.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kwara United
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
3
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ranchers Bees
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.42
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kwara United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Ranchers Bees

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
171%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Kwara UnitedLigaRanchers Bees
Average goals per game▼ 2.172.42▲ 2.67
Both teams scored▼ 33%46%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%42%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 17%33%• 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%71%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%71%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / game
0.78
Away goals / game
+110%
Home attack advantage
+52%
Home defensive advantage
+47%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Kwara United and Ranchers Bees play?

Kwara United face Ranchers Bees on October 4, 2026 in NPFL at Ilorin Township Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kwara United vs Ranchers Bees?

Kwara United score 1.17 goals per game on average and Ranchers Bees 1.33. The NPFL average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Kwara United's matches and 50% of Ranchers Bees's.

What form are Kwara United and Ranchers Bees in?

Over the last 5 games Kwara United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ranchers Bees 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kwara United vs Ranchers Bees?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.