Kwara United vs Warri Wolves: match statistics
Kwara United displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and only 20% losses at their own stadium, which provides a solid basis for predicting their success. The hosts have a positive home goal difference of +8, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceding only 0.4 goals per match, with 60% clean sheets. Warri Wolves, on the other hand, performs significantly worse on the road with a 55% loss rate and only 36% wins, conceding an average of 1.09 goals with a negative goal difference of -3. Despite Kwara United's weaker overall recent form (1 win in their last 5 matches), their dominance at home and higher expected statistics xG (1.3 vs 1.19) speak in their favor. Warri Wolves, although in better overall recent form, struggles with away performances, making Kwara United the favorite for this match.
Kwara United vs Warri Wolves: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kwara United played against Warri Wolves in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Kwara United has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Warri Wolves has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Kwara United scores 0.77 goals per game and allows 0.91. Warri Wolves scores 0.96 and allows 0.87. Games in this league average 1.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 27% of Kwara United's games and 35% of Warri Wolves's. The Over 2.5 rates are 18% and 22%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Warri Wolves has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.01 per game. Kwara United takes 4.0 shots per game, while Warri Wolves takes 4.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Kwara United leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.36 goals per game after halftime. Warri Wolves leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kwara United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Warri Wolves, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.84 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kwara United displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and only 20% losses at their own stadium, which provides a solid basis for predicting their success. The hosts have a positive home goal difference of +8, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceding only 0.4 goals per match, with 60% clean sheets. Warri Wolves, on the other hand, performs significantly worse on the road with a 55% loss rate and only 36% wins, conceding an average of 1.09 goals with a negative goal difference of -3. Despite Kwara United's weaker overall recent form (1 win in their last 5 matches), their dominance at home and higher expected statistics xG (1.3 vs 1.19) speak in their favor. Warri Wolves, although in better overall recent form, struggles with away performances, making Kwara United the favorite for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kwara United | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.73 | 0.51 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Warri Wolves is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Kwara United · 2 pts / game - Warri Wolves
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warri Wolves is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
0.77 goals / game - Kwara United · 0.96 goals / game - Warri Wolves
Warri Wolves is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.91 goals / game - Kwara United · 0.87 goals / game - Warri Wolves
Kwara United scores in 45% of games (10 of 22 games), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 games).
Warri Wolves scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 games), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kwara United
Over / Under - Warri Wolves
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Warri Wolves is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Kwara United · 1.13 pts / game - Warri Wolves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Warri Wolves - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kwara United
Warri Wolves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Kwara United | Liga | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.68 | 1.84 | • 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 36% | • 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 38% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 60% | • 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 45% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Kwara United's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Warri Wolves. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kwara United vs Warri Wolves?
The NPFL match finished Kwara United 2:1 Warri Wolves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kwara United vs Warri Wolves?
Kwara United score 0.77 goals per game on average and Warri Wolves 0.96. The NPFL average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Kwara United's matches and 35% of Warri Wolves's.
What form are Kwara United and Warri Wolves in?
Over the last 5 games Kwara United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Warri Wolves 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kwara United vs Warri Wolves?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.