Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay: match statistics
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kyzyl-Zhar played against Altay in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game was played on May 17, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Kyzyl-Zhar has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Altay has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Kyzyl-Zhar scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.00. Altay scores 0.33 and allows 0.78. Games in this league average 2.05 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Kyzyl-Zhar's games and 33% of Altay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 11%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kyzyl-Zhar has the higher season xG average, 1.13 to 1.08 per game. Kyzyl-Zhar takes 9.7 shots per game, while Altay takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Kyzyl-Zhar leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 1.11 goals per game after halftime. Altay leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.22 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kyzyl-Zhar's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Altay, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.05 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Kyzyl-Zhar win. The hosts average 1.8 goals per home match and convert 19% of shots into goals with 4.4 on-target shots per game, while Altay score only 0.5 goals away and have a 5% conversion rate. xG indicates similar creative output (Kyzyl-Zhar xG 1.17 at home vs Altay 1.22 away), but the visitors fail to turn that into goals — they keep a 0-goal return in 50% of away matches, whereas the hosts fail to score in only 20% of cases. Defensively the hosts concede 1.2 goals at home on average and Altay concede 1.0 away, yet Kyzyl-Zhar have a positive home goal difference (+3) and 20% clean sheets versus 0% for Altay on the road. Although Altay have 1.2 points per game in their last five matches compared to 0.6 for the hosts, Kyzyl-Zhar’s attacking efficiency and Altay’s poor away conversion lead me to rate the hosts with higher win probability.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Primary signals favor No BTTS: Kyzyl-Zhar averages only 0.2 goals per home game and keeps a clean sheet in 60% of home matches. Altay has a season BTTS rate of 50% and 0% clean sheets on the road, but their away scoring average is only 0.5, which limits the likelihood of both teams scoring simultaneously. xG data indicate moderate scoring chances: home xG 0.98 vs. away 1.22, and the league has a low goals-per-game average of 2.05 with a high clean sheet rate of 64%. Although Kyzyl-Zhar registered BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 1.6 goals, this appears to be a short-term anomaly compared to the season-long 20% BTTS and 60% home clean sheets. Additionally, low shot and conversion numbers (home 2.4 shots on target and 2% conversion, away 3.5 shots on target and 5% conversion) confirm limited attacking efficiency, so I favor 'No' (No BTTS) as more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects expected goals of 1.15 for home side Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.22 for away side Altay, totaling 2.37 goals. The calculation is based on xG: home attack xG 0.98, away attack xG 1.22, and xG against of 1.22 (Kyzyl-Zhar) and 1.31 (Altay), which yields these expected values. Altay clearly has the superior attacking quality: on average 11.0 shots and 3.5 shots on target with a 5.0% conversion rate, versus 8.6 shots, 2.4 shots on target and a 2.0% conversion for the hosts, increasing the likelihood of goals from the visitors. Seasonal metrics show few matches over 2.5 goals (Kyzyl-Zhar 20%, Altay 0%), but the last 5 matches produced 4 goals for the home team and 5 for the away, so the Poisson model translates the 2.37 expected goals into approximately a 69% chance of Over 1.5, 42% for Over 2.5 and 22% for Over 3.5. Given the xG advantage and higher volume of shooting opportunities, the best betting signal is Over 1.5 (over).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I project a half-time draw and a full-time draw (X/X) as the most likely scenario. Kyzyl-Zhar averages only 0.2 goals per match versus Altay’s 0.5, with xG of 0.98 for the home side and 1.22 for the visitors, indicating low goal output from both teams. The hosts have 60% clean sheets this season and 80% of halves without conceding at the break, and they draw 60% of their matches, so a high incidence of draws and low half-time scores is justified. Altay creates more opportunities (11.0 shots and 3.5 on target per match vs. the home side’s 8.6 and 2.4), so an alternative scenario is a half-time draw and an away turnaround to win (X/2), but their shot conversion rate of 5.0% does not provide a strong shift in momentum. Considering recent form over the last five matches (hosts: 'lwlll' = 1 win, 4 losses; visitors: 'dwldd' = 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss), the strongest signal remains X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kyzyl-Zhar | Altay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kyzyl-Zhar is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Kyzyl-Zhar · 0.6 pts / game - Altay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kyzyl-Zhar is 270% better for: goals scored per game.
1.22 goals / game - Kyzyl-Zhar · 0.33 goals / game - Altay
Altay is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Kyzyl-Zhar · 0.78 goals / game - Altay
Kyzyl-Zhar scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 meczów), while Altay keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
Altay scores in 33% of games (3 of 9 meczów), while Kyzyl-Zhar keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kyzyl-Zhar
Over / Under - Altay
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kyzyl-Zhar is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / game - Kyzyl-Zhar · 0.56 pts / game - Altay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kyzyl-Zhar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Altay - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kyzyl-Zhar
Altay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kyzyl-Zhar | Liga | Altay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.22 | 2.05 | ▼ 1.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 34% | ▼ 11% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 68% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Kyzyl-Zhar 1:2 Altay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay?
Kyzyl-Zhar score 1.22 goals per game on average and Altay 0.33. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Kyzyl-Zhar's matches and 33% of Altay's.
What form are Kyzyl-Zhar and Altay in?
Over the last 5 games Kyzyl-Zhar have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Altay 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.