La Equidad vs Junior: match statistics
La Equidad vs Junior: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
La Equidad played against Junior in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on March 29, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
La Equidad has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Junior has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
La Equidad scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 1.38. Junior scores 1.46 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of La Equidad's games and 54% of Junior's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 62%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Junior has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.29 per game. La Equidad takes 12.5 shots per game, while Junior takes 13.5.
First-half and second-half trends
La Equidad leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Junior leads at halftime in 54% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
La Equidad's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Junior, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I tip a home win: La Equidad hold an offensive and control advantage at home. At home they record higher xG and goals (1.49 xG, 1.67 goals) than Junior away (1.29 xG, 1.5 goals), and better shot metrics. Possession (56% vs 53%) and more shots (15 vs 11.8) show La Equidad’s attacking initiative. However lower last-5 PPG for hosts (0.8) vs Junior (1.4) and visitor form variability temper the prediction. Defensively both sides are similar (GA home 1.17 vs away 1.5), so a draw is possible. Considering the home edge, I assign higher probability to La Equidad’s win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Analysis shows moderately high BTTS probability, driven by Junior’s profile and league trend. Junior season BTTS 67% and xG_against 1.5 indicate frequent goals conceded; La Equidad, despite higher xG_for (1.58), also concedes significantly. Both teams in last 5 score and concede (gf_l5 3 vs 5, ga_l5 6 vs 8), and league BTTS ~56%. Given increased likelihood of mutual scoring and defensive form, recommend BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Stats show clear attacking profiles for both teams: xG 1.58 (La Equidad) vs 1.29 (Junior) and high season goal averages yield total expected ~2.87. Both teams have 100% season occurrences over 0.5 and 1.5 goals, strongly favoring the 1.5 over line. Probability for Over 2.5 is also notable (home 57%, away 67% over2.5 seasonally), giving a moderate indication for Over 2.5. Chance of Over 3.5 is low per season metrics (14–17%). Conclusion: strongest signal is Over 1.5 with high probability of success.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
La Equidad shows an HT advantage (leadingAtHTPercentage_home 57%, concededAVGHT_home 0.57) suggesting they more often lead after 45 minutes. Season overall metrics and xG favor the hosts (seasonPPG_home 1.86, xg_for_avg_home 1.58 vs away 1.29), raising the likelihood of maintaining the lead and winning. Junior has higher BTTS and offensive potential, giving moderate chances of a turnaround or second-half draw. Considering distribution of second-half results and last-5 form, the selection is 1/1 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| La Equidad | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Junior is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - La Equidad · 1.4 pts / game - Junior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Junior is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - La Equidad · 1.46 goals / game - Junior
La Equidad scores in 62% of games (8 of 13 meczów), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 meczów).
Junior scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 meczów), while La Equidad keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - La Equidad
Over / Under - Junior
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Junior is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / game - La Equidad · 1.77 pts / game - Junior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
La Equidad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Junior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 54% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
La Equidad
Junior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| La Equidad | Liga | Junior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.69 | 2.52 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 55% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 48% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from La Equidad's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Junior. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of La Equidad vs Junior?
The Categoria Primera A match finished La Equidad 0:1 Junior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between La Equidad and Junior?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 0, Junior won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before La Equidad vs Junior?
La Equidad score 1.31 goals per game on average and Junior 1.46. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 62% of La Equidad's matches and 54% of Junior's.
What form are La Equidad and Junior in?
Over the last 5 games La Equidad have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Junior 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Equidad vs Junior?
The statistical background for La Equidad vs Junior — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.