LA Galaxy II vs North Texas: match statistics
LA Galaxy II vs North Texas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
LA Galaxy II played North Texas in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Venue: HDC University Field 1. Final score: 6:1.
Current form
LA Galaxy II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. North Texas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
LA Galaxy II scores 1.85 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. North Texas scores 1.61 and concedes 1.28. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: LA Galaxy II 65%, North Texas 50%. Over 2.5: LA Galaxy II 60%, North Texas 50%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
LA Galaxy II has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.36. LA Galaxy II: 13.3 shots per match, North Texas: 10.8.
Match halves
LA Galaxy II: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.20. North Texas: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
LA Galaxy II: 61-75 (9 goals). North Texas: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
LA Galaxy II have a clear offensive edge: the hosts average 2.18 goals per home match, while North Texas scores only 1.09 on the road. In chance creation the hosts average 14.18 shots and 5.73 shots on target per home game versus 10 shots and 3.64 on target for the visitors, and the hosts’ home xG is 1.70 compared to 1.22 xG for the visitors away. Additionally, the hosts have 0% of home games without scoring, whereas North Texas fails to score in 45% of away matches, which increases the likelihood of the hosts finding the net. Form confirms the advantage: in the last 5 matches LA Galaxy II have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (average 2.0 points per game), while North Texas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 points per game). Defenses are relatively even (both concede 1.18 goals on average—hosts at home and visitors away), but the hosts’ superior efficiency (15% shot conversion vs 11% for visitors) and a 64% home win rate for hosts versus a 27% away win rate for visitors point toward a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - Yes as more likely because LA Galaxy II has a season BTTS rate of 71% vs North Texas 36%, with the league average at 61%. The home side scores 2.43 goals per game (37 goals this season), averages 5.71 shots on target and has a high conversion rate of 20%, but concedes 1.43 goals per game on average, which increases the opponent’s scoring opportunities. Visitors score 1.09 goals per game on the season and have a lower BTTS rate of 36%, yet in the last 5 matches they averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded, indicating improved recent defensive form. Additionally, the home team generates 1.58 xG per game while North Texas’s defense allows 1.98 xG, so despite the guests’ lower xG, the likelihood of them scoring rises given the hosts’ high conversion. Considering the hosts’ 71% BTTS, the 61% league baseline and recent form (last5: home 2.2 scored/1.0 conceded, away 1.4/0.8), I assign 70% to Yes and 30% to No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
LA Galaxy II score an average of 2.43 goals per game (37 goals this season) and register 12.14 shots with 5.71 on target and a conversion rate of 20%, while North Texas have 1.09 goals, 10.0 shots and 3.64 on target with an 11% conversion. xG shows 1.58 for LA Galaxy II and 1.22 for North Texas; expected goals calculated as the average of own xG and opponent xG-against are 1.78 for the home side and 1.46 for the away side, totaling 3.24. A Poisson model with lambda=3.24 yields roughly an 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals and about 63% for Over 2.5 goals, which aligns with seasonal percentages (home side have 100% of matches >1.5, away side 64%). Additionally, hosts have 71% of home matches with both teams scoring and the league average is 3.22 goals per game, reinforcing the case for the Over market. Based on this, the strongest and best signal is to play Over 1.5 (over), as it provides the highest probability and the largest safety margin compared to Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side possesses the stronger attack — they score an average of 2.43 goals per match versus 1.09 for the visitors, have xG 1.58 vs 1.22, register 5.71 shots on target vs 3.64 and demonstrate finishing of 20% vs 11%. In the last five matches LA Galaxy II led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5) and averaged 0.8 goals by half-time versus 0.0 for North Texas, giving them the advantage in the first half. After the break the hosts also dominate — they win the second half in 71% of cases and accumulate an average of 2.43 points in second halves versus 0.64 for the visitors, so when the score is level at half-time they more frequently turn the result in their favor. There is some seasonal contrast (the visitors led at the break in 36% of matches and concede on average 1.18 goals seasonally), but the higher xG and shots for the hosts indicate an offensive edge against the visitors’ xG against of 1.98. For these reasons the strongest signal from the data is a lead for the hosts at half-time and a home win at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| LA Galaxy II | North Texas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
LA Galaxy II is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - LA Galaxy II · 1.6 pts / match - North Texas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
LA Galaxy II is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.85 goals / match - LA Galaxy II · 1.61 goals / match - North Texas
North Texas is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - LA Galaxy II · 1.28 goals / match - North Texas
LA Galaxy II scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while North Texas keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
North Texas scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while LA Galaxy II keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — LA Galaxy II
Over / Under — North Texas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
LA Galaxy II is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - LA Galaxy II · 1.44 pts / match - North Texas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
LA Galaxy II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
North Texas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
LA Galaxy II
North Texas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| LA Galaxy II | Liga | North Texas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.20 | 3.23 | ▼ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 22% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): LA Galaxy II 0 - 1 - 1 North Texas. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of LA Galaxy II vs North Texas?
The MLS Next Pro match finished LA Galaxy II 6:1 North Texas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between LA Galaxy II and North Texas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy II won 0, North Texas won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before LA Galaxy II vs North Texas?
LA Galaxy II score 1.85 goals per game on average and North Texas 1.61. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 65% of LA Galaxy II's matches and 50% of North Texas's.
What form are LA Galaxy II and North Texas in?
Over the last 5 games LA Galaxy II have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and North Texas 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for LA Galaxy II vs North Texas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.