France - NationalStade Henri DesgrangeData current as of October 15, 2026

La Roche VF vs Aubagne: match statistics

La Roche VF crest
La Roche VF
3 : 1half-time 0:1
Aubagne crest
Aubagne

La Roche VF vs Aubagne: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

La Roche VF played against Aubagne in National (France). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Stade Henri Desgrange. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

La Roche VF has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Aubagne has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

La Roche VF scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 0.88. Aubagne scores 0.63 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.33 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 63% of La Roche VF's games and 25% of Aubagne's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 38%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.17 per game. La Roche VF takes 10.6 shots per game, while Aubagne takes 9.5.

First-half and second-half trends

La Roche VF leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Aubagne leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.25 after halftime.

When the teams score

La Roche VF's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Aubagne, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National games average 2.33 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

La Roche VF top the table and remain unbeaten after 8 matches, while 16th-placed Aubagne have already lost 5 of their 8 games. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 7 goals, while the visitors recorded 2 wins and scored 5 goals over the same period. At home, La Roche average 2 goals per match and have scored in every game, whereas Aubagne average just 0.5 goals away from home and have failed to score in 75% of their matches. The quality of chances also favors the hosts: their home xG stands at 1.39, while Aubagne concede chances worth 1.94 xG away from home. A draw remains possible, as La Roche have drawn half of their home matches and concede an average of 1.5 goals there, but the visitors' poor attacking output points to a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal that at least one team will fail to score is their season-long scoring record: La Roche VF have failed to score in 50% of their matches, while Aubagne have done so in 75%. For both teams, BTTS - Yes has landed in just 25% of matches, below the league average of 43%. The visitors score an average of just 0.5 goals per match despite an xG of 1.15, and their shot conversion rate is 5%, making their failure to score the main risk to a BTTS - Yes selection. The last five matches offer some counter-evidence: both teams scored in 60% of La Roche VF’s games and 40% of Aubagne’s, but over that period each side conceded an average of just 0.8 goals. Therefore, the hosts’ improved attacking output of 1.4 goals per match over their last five appearances does not outweigh the season-long figures, which point to BTTS - No—that is, at least one team is expected to fail to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been breached in any of La Roche VF’s home games or Aubagne’s away games so far. Aubagne average just 0.5 goals away from home and have failed to score in 75% of those matches, limiting the chances of a high-scoring game. La Roche VF average 0.75 goals at home, although the hosts’ xG is 1.19 and Aubagne’s xG against is 1.94, making a home goal likely. In each team’s last five matches, at least three goals were scored in 40% of games, so the 2.5 line offers a weaker signal than 3.5. The total-goals projection of 2.2 takes into account both teams’ low scoring efficiency and the possibility that La Roche VF will exploit the visitors’ defensive frailties.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: La Roche VF went into the break level in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Aubagne did so in 3 of 5. After the break, the advantage shifts to the hosts, who averaged 1.2 goals in the second half in those matches compared with Aubagne’s 0.4, and won that half 4 times out of 5. La Roche VF have earned 11 points from their last 5 matches, while the visitors have collected 7, and the hosts’ average xG is 1.19 against 1.94 xG conceded by Aubagne. The hosts’ season average of just 0.75 points per match calls for caution, but their current form and effectiveness after the break point most strongly to the X/1 scenario.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
3 : 0
Second half

Game stats

56Possession (%)44
La Roche VFAubagne
17Shots9
La Roche VFAubagne
17Shots on target9
La Roche VFAubagne
2.68xG1.47
La Roche VFAubagne
3Corners5
La Roche VFAubagne
58Dangerous attacks37
La Roche VFAubagne
16Fouls10
La Roche VFAubagne
4Cards4
La Roche VFAubagne

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

La Roche VFAubagne
1.5Goals scored / game0.63
La Roche VFAubagne
0.88Goals allowed / game1.13
La Roche VFAubagne
59%Average possession44%
La Roche VFAubagne
3.88Shots on target / game4.38
La Roche VFAubagne

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.63Shots per game9.5
La Roche VFAubagne
3.88Shots on target4.38
La Roche VFAubagne
14.1%Shot conversion6.6%
La Roche VFAubagne
59%Possession44%
La Roche VFAubagne
1.17xG for1.17
La Roche VFAubagne
1.13xG against1.61
La Roche VFAubagne

Shooting quality

La Roche VF: Efficient finishingAubagne: Balanced
La Roche VFAubagne
Accuracy (shots on target)37%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.14

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

La Roche VF is 57% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - La Roche VF · 1.4 pts / game - Aubagne

La Roche VF
WDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
63% W38% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-0
2.25 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 at home
2-2-0
WDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Aubagne
WDLLW
Season result split
25% W13% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-5
0.88 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

La Roche VF is 138% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - La Roche VF · 0.63 goals / game - Aubagne

La Roche VF is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.88 goals / game - La Roche VF · 1.13 goals / game - Aubagne

La Roche VF scoring profile: very strong

La Roche VF scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Aubagne keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

Aubagne scoring profile: mixed

Aubagne scores in 38% of games (3 of 8 games), while La Roche VF keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).

12Goals scored (season)5
La Roche VFAubagne
7Goals conceded (season)9
La Roche VFAubagne
2.38Average goals per game1.75
La Roche VFAubagne
7Goals scored (last 5)5
La Roche VFAubagne
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
La Roche VFAubagne

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal38%
La Roche VFAubagne
38%2 goals25%
La Roche VFAubagne
25%3 goals0%
La Roche VFAubagne
0%4 goals0%
La Roche VFAubagne

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal75%
La Roche VFAubagne
25%2 goals25%
La Roche VFAubagne
0%3 goals13%
La Roche VFAubagne
0%4 goals0%
La Roche VFAubagne

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time13%
La Roche VFAubagne
25%BTTS in both halves0%
La Roche VFAubagne
25%Scored in both halves13%
La Roche VFAubagne

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
La Roche VFAubagne
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
La Roche VFAubagne
60%BTTS - last 540%
La Roche VFAubagne

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
La Roche VFAubagne
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
La Roche VFAubagne
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
La Roche VFAubagne

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
La Roche VFAubagne
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
La Roche VFAubagne
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
La Roche VFAubagne

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

La Roche VF is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / game - La Roche VF · 0.88 pts / game - Aubagne

La Roche VF - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing
Aubagne - half-time state
13% leading50% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per game (1st half)0.88
La Roche VFAubagne
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.38
La Roche VFAubagne
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
La Roche VFAubagne
0.88Average goals (1st half)0.88
La Roche VFAubagne
63%Clean sheet before half-time50%
La Roche VFAubagne
50%No goal before half-time75%
La Roche VFAubagne

After half-time (2nd half)

2.13Points per game (2nd half)0.88
La Roche VFAubagne
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
La Roche VFAubagne
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
La Roche VFAubagne
1.5Average goals (2nd half)0.88
La Roche VFAubagne
50%Clean sheet after half-time63%
La Roche VFAubagne
38%No goal after half-time75%
La Roche VFAubagne

La Roche VF - second-half results

63% W25% D13% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding252%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Aubagne - second-half results

13% W50% D38% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding192%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

La Roche VF - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.60
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Aubagne - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.00.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

La Roche VF
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Aubagne
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
3
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.07
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

La Roche VF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Aubagne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 60% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).

Teams vs league

La Roche VFLigaAubagne
Average goals per game• 2.382.33▼ 1.75
Both teams scored▲ 63%44%▼ 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 38%37%• 38%
Clean sheets▲ 38%34%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%74%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▲ 75%70%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.22
Home goals / game
1.11
Away goals / game
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AubagneGoalBilel TafniAssist: Soiyir Ahamada
  2. La Roche VFYellow cardAlexis Araujo
  3. AubagneYellow cardAdem Tafni
  4. La Roche VFYellow cardMomar Ndiaye
  5. La Roche VFGoalDjibril Bangoura
  6. La Roche VFYellow cardMatteo Rabuel
  7. La Roche VFGoalThomas AllemandAssist: Djibril Bangoura
  8. AubagneSubstitutionOn: Adame FaizOff: Adam Oudjani
  9. La Roche VFYellow cardDjibril Bangoura
  10. AubagneSubstitutionOn: Yohan ZemouraOff: Bilel Tafni
  11. AubagneYellow cardSoiyir Ahamada
  12. La Roche VFSubstitutionOn: Mathieu VilletteOff: Mouhamadou Mansour Samb
  13. AubagneRed cardKarim Cisse

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of La Roche VF vs Aubagne?

The National match finished La Roche VF 3:1 Aubagne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before La Roche VF vs Aubagne?

La Roche VF score 1.50 goals per game on average and Aubagne 0.63. The National average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 63% of La Roche VF's matches and 25% of Aubagne's.

What form are La Roche VF and Aubagne in?

Over the last 5 games La Roche VF have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Aubagne 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Roche VF vs Aubagne?

The statistical background for La Roche VF vs Aubagne — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.