La Serena vs Colo-Colo: match statistics
La Serena vs Colo-Colo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
La Serena played against Colo-Colo in Primera División (Chile). The game was played on May 30, 2026. Venue: Estadio La Portada de La Serena. Final score: 2:4.
Recent form
La Serena has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Colo-Colo has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
La Serena scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 1.54. Colo-Colo scores 1.69 and allows 0.77. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of La Serena's games and 38% of Colo-Colo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 38%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Colo-Colo has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.25 per game. La Serena takes 11.2 shots per game, while Colo-Colo takes 14.8.
First-half and second-half trends
La Serena leads at halftime in 46% of its games and scores 0.54 goals per game after halftime. Colo-Colo leads at halftime in 46% and scores 1.08 after halftime.
When the teams score
La Serena's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Colo-Colo, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Colo-Colo is the favorite: they sit 1st with a record of 10 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses and 22 goals scored, while La Serena has 4 wins and 18 goals this season. In the last 5 matches the visitors scored 13 goals (2.6 per game) and average 2.4 points, whereas the hosts have 9 goals (1.8 per game) and average 1.6 points, indicating superior attacking form from the visitors. Colo-Colo produces higher-quality chances: average possession 61% vs 49%, average xG away 1.48 vs 1.29 for the hosts, and more shots 12.5 vs 11.14. La Serena’s strengths at home are a low 0.71 goals conceded per game and 43% clean sheets, plus better shot conversion 14% vs 11% — however 29% of their home matches end with them failing to score. Considering the visitors’ advantage in xG, possession, 13 goals in 5 matches, absence of scoreless away games (FTS 0%) and an 83% away win rate, I predict a Colo-Colo victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I indicate BTTS - Yes as the most likely scenario because both teams display a strong recent trend toward mutual scoring: La Serena had BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches and Colo‑Colo in 80%. La Serena averages 2.0 goals per game this season with xG 1.78, but in the last 5 matches scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) and conceded 1.8 on average, suggesting increased vulnerability to conceding. Colo‑Colo has 22 goals this season and concedes 0.83 per game on average; in their last 5 matches they scored 13 goals (2.6 per game) with last5 xG 1.79 and a season clean sheet rate of 0%. Additionally, last5 xG are 1.4 (La Serena) and 1.79 (Colo‑Colo), the combined goals of both teams in their last 5 matches is 22 (4.4 per game), and average shots on target are 6.29 vs 4.33, indicating a high number of chances for both sides. Considering season BTTS 29% (La Serena) and 50% (Colo‑Colo) against the league average BTTS 48%, but strong recent trends of 60% and 80%, I estimate the probability of BTTS at 72% versus 28% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model estimates 1.44 goals for La Serena ((1.78 + 1.09)/2) and 1.15 for Colo‑Colo ((1.48 + 0.82)/2), totaling ≈2.59 goals. In the last 5 matches La Serena averaged 1.8 goals and Colo‑Colo 2.6 goals (9 and 13 goals respectively in the last 5), which increases the likelihood of more goals compared to seasonal averages. A Poisson distribution simulation with mean 2.59 yields roughly 73% probability for Over 1.5, about 48% for Over 2.5 and about 26% for Over 3.5. Seasonal indicators partially corroborate this: La Serena had 57% of matches Over 1.5, Colo‑Colo 50%, and the league records 51% of matches Over 2.5, so the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The first half is expected to be low-scoring: La Serena averages 0.57 goals by HT, Colo-Colo 0.67, and clean sheets at the break occur in 71% of home matches and 67% of away matches, which favors a level score at 45 minutes. For the full match, however, Colo-Colo has the better chances — the visitors have an 83% win rate this season and an 80% win rate in the last five matches, and in those five games they score an average of 2.6 goals versus La Serena’s 1.8. Although La Serena’s seasonal xG is 1.78 compared to Colo-Colo’s 1.48 and they register more on-target shots (6.29 vs 4.33), their goals tend to come after the break (on average 1.43), and the visitors’ current form and efficiency prevail. Therefore I recommend HT/FT X/2 (draw at half-time, Colo-Colo to win) with an assigned probability of 28%; alternatives are X/X 18% and 2/2 14%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| La Serena | Colo-Colo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Colo-Colo is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - La Serena · 2.4 pts / game - Colo-Colo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colo-Colo is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - La Serena · 1.69 goals / game - Colo-Colo
Colo-Colo is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.54 goals / game - La Serena · 0.77 goals / game - Colo-Colo
La Serena scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 meczów), while Colo-Colo keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 meczów).
Colo-Colo scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 meczów), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - La Serena
Over / Under - Colo-Colo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
La Serena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 31%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Colo-Colo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 77%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
La Serena
Colo-Colo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| La Serena | Liga | Colo-Colo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.92 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | • 46% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 50% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from La Serena's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Colo-Colo. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of La Serena vs Colo-Colo?
The Primera División match finished La Serena 2:4 Colo-Colo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between La Serena and Colo-Colo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches La Serena won 0, Colo-Colo won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before La Serena vs Colo-Colo?
La Serena score 1.38 goals per game on average and Colo-Colo 1.69. The Primera División average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 46% of La Serena's matches and 38% of Colo-Colo's.
What form are La Serena and Colo-Colo in?
Over the last 5 games La Serena have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Colo-Colo 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Serena vs Colo-Colo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.