La Serena vs O'Higgins: match statistics
La Serena vs O'Higgins: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
La Serena played O'Higgins in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Venue: Estadio La Portada de La Serena. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
La Serena: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. O'Higgins: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
La Serena scores 1.50 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. O'Higgins scores 1.19 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: La Serena 56%, O'Higgins 44%. Over 2.5: La Serena 56%, O'Higgins 44%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
O'Higgins has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.31. La Serena: 11.9 shots per match, O'Higgins: 13.4.
Match halves
La Serena: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.75. O'Higgins: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
La Serena: 31-45+ (7 goals). O'Higgins: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
La Serena has a clear home advantage: at home they average 1.63 goals scored and concede 1.13 per match, while O'Higgins on the road average 1.38 scored and 1.88 conceded. Chance quality also favors the hosts — La Serena records 4.63 shots on target per match with a 15% conversion rate, versus O'Higgins' 4.13 shots on target and 13% conversion; xG for both teams is similar (1.23), but xG against is 1.30 for La Serena versus 1.73 for O'Higgins. Form is comparable (over the last 5 matches both teams have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses and PPG 1.4), with La Serena scoring 8 goals in their last 5 matches against O'Higgins' 7, although La Serena conceded 9 in that period versus their opponents' 6. Additionally, La Serena has a lower share of matches without scoring (25% vs 38%) and a higher share of clean sheets at home (38% vs 25%), which strengthens their prospects. Considering better home defense (1.13 vs 1.88), higher conversion and greater efficiency with shots on target, I assign La Serena approximately 55% chance, draw 25% and O'Higgins win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonally La Serena has BTTS in 38% of matches, O'Higgins in 50%, and the league average is 50%, so historically O'Higgins features in Goal/Goal games more often than La Serena. In the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of cases; over that period La Serena averaged 1.6 goals scored and conceded 1.8, while O'Higgins scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2. xG and shot metrics support the likelihood of goal exchange: La Serena has xG 1.76 and averages 16.5 shots (5.38 on target), whereas O'Higgins concedes xG against of 1.73; meanwhile O'Higgins has xG 1.23 and a conversion rate of 13%. Both teams have only 25% of matches with a clean sheet, and seasonally La Serena has conceded 28 goals versus 24 for O'Higgins, which increases the probability of goals conceded on both sides. Considering the 60% BTTS in the last 5, the strong xG comparisons (1.76 vs 1.73 and 1.23 vs 1.1) and the low 25% clean sheets, I assess the chance of BTTS at 72% and select BTTS - Yes as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and defensive-quality based model indicates 1.75 expected goals for La Serena (attacking xG 1.76 vs O'Higgins conceded xG 1.73, average ≈1.75) and 1.17 for O'Higgins (attacking xG 1.23 vs La Serena conceded xG 1.10, average ≈1.17), totaling 2.92 goals. La Serena averages 16.5 shots and 5.38 shots on target per match, while O'Higgins records 10.38 shots and 4.13 on target; O'Higgins' defense concedes 1.73 xG per match, which favors goal-scoring. Seasonal metrics confirm a propensity for goals: Over 0.5 occurred in 100% of La Serena matches and 88% of O'Higgins matches, while Over 1.5 is 50% for La Serena and 88% for O'Higgins (average 69%). A Poisson model for the expected total of 2.92 yields roughly a 79% probability for over 1.5 goals, about 56% for over 2.5 and about 33% for over 3.5, therefore I recommend the 'over' side on the 1.5 line as the strongest signal from the available data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time with La Serena winning after 90 minutes (X/1). A draw at the break is highly probable since the half-time draw rate for both teams is 38% and average goals to half-time are 0.5 for La Serena versus 0.75 for O'Higgins, indicating only a slight advantage for the visitors in the first 45 minutes. Over the full match the hosts are the favorites: they win 50% of their games versus 25% for the visitors and average 1.5 points per match for La Serena compared to 1.0 for O'Higgins. This is corroborated by higher xG for the hosts (1.76 vs 1.23) and lower xG conceded (1.10 vs 1.73 for the opponents), as well as more shots by the hosts (16.5 vs 10.38) and more shots on target (5.38 vs 4.13), which supports a turnaround in the second half. Additionally, La Serena earns more points in second halves on average (1.25 vs 0.63) while O'Higgins concedes more goals after the break (on average 1.25), therefore I assign the highest probability to the X/1 scenario (30%); alternatives are draw/draw at 45'–90' (20%) or lead at the break and win for the hosts 1/1 (15%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| La Serena | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
La Serena is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - La Serena · 0.2 pts / match - O'Higgins
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
La Serena is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - La Serena · 1.19 goals / match - O'Higgins
O'Higgins is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - La Serena · 1.5 goals / match - O'Higgins
La Serena scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while O'Higgins keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
O'Higgins scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — La Serena
Over / Under — O'Higgins
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Serena is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - La Serena · 1.13 pts / match - O'Higgins
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
La Serena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
O'Higgins - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 3.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
La Serena
O'Higgins
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| La Serena | Liga | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 76% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): La Serena 0 - 2 - 1 O'Higgins. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of La Serena vs O'Higgins?
The Primera División match finished La Serena 1:2 O'Higgins. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between La Serena and O'Higgins?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches La Serena won 0, O'Higgins won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before La Serena vs O'Higgins?
La Serena score 1.50 goals per game on average and O'Higgins 1.19. The Primera División average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of La Serena's matches and 44% of O'Higgins's.
What form are La Serena and O'Higgins in?
Over the last 5 games La Serena have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and O'Higgins 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Serena vs O'Higgins?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.