Lahti vs Ilves: match statistics
Lahti vs Ilves: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lahti played against Ilves in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on May 30, 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Recent form
Lahti has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Ilves has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Lahti scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.25. Ilves scores 1.44 and allows 1.78. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Lahti's games and 78% of Ilves's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 67%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lahti has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 1.14 per game. Lahti takes 10.9 shots per game, while Ilves takes 9.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Lahti leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.13 goals per game after halftime. Ilves leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lahti's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Ilves, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ilves arrives in Lahti as a narrow favorite: the visitors have scored 13 goals this season versus the hosts' 7, and in the last 5 matches Ilves has netted 10 goals with 3 wins, while Lahti has 7 goals and 2 wins. Away, Ilves averages 1.6 goals per game with a shot conversion rate of 16%, whereas Lahti at home scores 1.0 goal with a 9% conversion, giving the visitors an attacking efficiency edge. Lahti, however, holds a defensive advantage at home: the hosts concede 1.25 goals per game on average and their xG against is 1.06, while Ilves concedes 2.0 goals away with an xG against of 1.87, so Lahti can limit opponents' chance creation. Both teams have 0% clean sheets, and possession difference is notable — Lahti 56% vs Ilves 47% — indicating home control but not necessarily greater effectiveness. Considering Ilves' superior shot efficiency and an average of 2.0 points per game in the last 5 matches versus Lahti's 1.6, I tip the visitors to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes. Ilves has a season BTTS rate of 100%, Lahti 50%, and Lahti has recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, which is a strong signal that both teams are scoring. Both sides concede frequently: Lahti concedes 1.5 goals per game season-wide (1.0 in last 5), Ilves 2.0 season-wide (1.0 in last 5), so scoring opportunities from both teams are likely. This is supported by xG and shots — season xG_for 1.09 (Lahti) vs 1.18 (Ilves), xG_against 1.25 vs 1.87 and average shots 8.0 (3.0 on target) vs 10.2 (3.6 on target), indicating Ilves’ advantage in chance creation and defensive vulnerabilities. Ilves has 0% clean sheets this season and the league BTTS sits at 50%, therefore I assess BTTS probability at 80% and No Goal at 20%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast favors Over 1.5 – the model estimates probability at around 75% (Under 25%). Estimated expected goals are 1.48 for Lahti and 1.22 for Ilves, totaling 2.70 goals; these values were derived as the average of team offensive xG and opponent defensive xG (Lahti xG_for 1.09 vs Ilves xG_against 1.87; Ilves xG_for 1.18 vs Lahti xG_against 1.25). Ilves scores on average 1.6 goals per game and has BTTS 100%, with its matches showing an 80% share in Over 2.5; Lahti scores 1.25 goals and in 75% of matches more than 1.5 goals are scored, which together increases the chance of at least two goals in the match. Shot statistics support the offense: Ilves 10.2 shots and 3.6 on target, Lahti 8.0 and 3.0 with a 16% conversion for both teams, so I expect several clear scoring opportunities. Considering the combined average score of 2.70 (which translates to approximately a 51% chance of Over 2.5 and ~29% for Over 3.5), the strongest signal from the data is to play Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Ilves leading at the break and the visitors winning (HT/FT 2/2). In the last 5 matches Ilves led at the break in 60% of cases (3 of 5), while Lahti led only in 20% (1 of 5); the average first-half goals in the last 5 games are 1.0 for Ilves versus 0.8 for Lahti. Ilves has better form over the last 5 matches (results: W D L W W, 60% wins) and a higher goals-per-game average in the last 5 matches, 2.0 vs 1.4 for Lahti, and additionally generates more shots (10.2 vs 8.0) and more shots on target (3.6 vs 3.0). xG is similar (1.18 for Ilves vs 1.09 for Lahti), but Ilves more frequently scores in earlier phases and their seasonal stats show 100% BTTS, which supports the scenario of the visitors leading at the break and winning; Lahti, however, tends to score late (2 goals in minutes 76–90), so the chance of a draw or a turnaround exists but is a weaker signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lahti | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ilves is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Lahti · 1.6 pts / game - Ilves
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 64% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Lahti · 1.44 goals / game - Ilves
Lahti is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - Lahti · 1.78 goals / game - Ilves
Lahti scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 meczów).
Ilves scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 meczów), while Lahti keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lahti
Over / Under - Ilves
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilves is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Lahti · 1.56 pts / game - Ilves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lahti - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lahti
Ilves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Lahti | Liga | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.13 | 2.34 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 49% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 72% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Lahti vs Ilves?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Lahti 5:0 Ilves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lahti vs Ilves?
Lahti score 0.88 goals per game on average and Ilves 1.44. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Lahti's matches and 78% of Ilves's.
What form are Lahti and Ilves in?
Over the last 5 games Lahti have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ilves 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lahti vs Ilves?
The statistical background for Lahti vs Ilves — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.