Larissa vs PAOK: match statistics
PAOK is the clear favorite for this match, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Larissa sits in 12th position with only 4 victories. The visitors show a huge advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 2.11 goals per away game with a shot conversion rate of 16%, while the hosts score only 0.91 goals per home match. PAOK also dominates in terms of possession (61% vs 45%) and has a significantly better goal difference on the road (+9) compared to Larissa's negative home goal difference (-9). Furthermore, PAOK keeps 44% clean sheets away from home, indicating a solid defense, while Larissa concedes an average of 1.73 goals per home game. The form of both teams also favors the visitors – PAOK has won 56% of away matches, while Larissa has triumphed in only 18% of home games. All key statistical indicators clearly point to a PAOK victory.
Larissa vs PAOK: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Larissa played against PAOK in Super League (Greece). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Larissa has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. PAOK has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Larissa scores 0.95 goals per game and allows 1.57. PAOK scores 2.05 and allows 0.65. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Larissa's games and 35% of PAOK's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 60%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
PAOK has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.24 per game. Larissa takes 11.5 shots per game, while PAOK takes 14.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Larissa leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. PAOK leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.95 after halftime.
When the teams score
Larissa's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For PAOK, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Super League games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PAOK is the clear favorite for this match, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Larissa sits in 12th position with only 4 victories. The visitors show a huge advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 2.11 goals per away game with a shot conversion rate of 16%, while the hosts score only 0.91 goals per home match. PAOK also dominates in terms of possession (61% vs 45%) and has a significantly better goal difference on the road (+9) compared to Larissa's negative home goal difference (-9). Furthermore, PAOK keeps 44% clean sheets away from home, indicating a solid defense, while Larissa concedes an average of 1.73 goals per home game. The form of both teams also favors the visitors – PAOK has won 56% of away matches, while Larissa has triumphed in only 18% of home games. All key statistical indicators clearly point to a PAOK victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Larissa | PAOK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
PAOK is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Larissa · 2.2 pts / game - PAOK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PAOK is 116% better for: goals scored per game.
0.95 goals / game - Larissa · 2.05 goals / game - PAOK
PAOK is 142% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.57 goals / game - Larissa · 0.65 goals / game - PAOK
Larissa scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 60% (12 of 20 meczów).
PAOK scores in 80% of games (16 of 20 meczów), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larissa
Over / Under - PAOK
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PAOK is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / game - Larissa · 1.85 pts / game - PAOK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larissa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
PAOK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Larissa
PAOK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Larissa | Liga | PAOK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.52 | 2.61 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Larissa's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against PAOK. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Larissa vs PAOK?
The Super League match finished Larissa 1:1 PAOK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Larissa vs PAOK?
Larissa score 0.95 goals per game on average and PAOK 2.05. The Super League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Larissa's matches and 35% of PAOK's.
What form are Larissa and PAOK in?
Over the last 5 games Larissa have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and PAOK 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larissa vs PAOK?
The statistical background for Larissa vs PAOK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.