Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipData current as of September 11, 2026

Larne vs Bangor: match statistics

Larne crest
Larne
2 : 1half-time 2:0
Bangor crest
Bangor
175%(1.36)
X15%(4.75)
210%(6.75)

Larne displays decisive dominance as the host, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 75% wins and 83% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts have scored as many as 41 goals this season, conceding just 10, resulting in a +21 goal difference in home matches. Bangor, on the other hand, fares much worse on the road, where they lose half of their matches (50%), earning only 1.2 points per match and keeping just 10% clean sheets. The form of both teams also favors Larne – the hosts are unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while Bangor has lost three of their last five games. The difference in offensive quality (1.92 vs 1.2 goals per match) and defense (0.17 vs 1.8 goals conceded) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts.

Larne vs Bangor: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Larne played against Bangor in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on January 23, 2026. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Larne has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Bangor has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Larne scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 0.42. Bangor scores 1.21 and allows 1.54. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 29% of Larne's games and 54% of Bangor's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 50%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Larne has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.23 per game. Larne takes 12.6 shots per game, while Bangor takes 8.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Larne leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 1.04 goals per game after halftime. Bangor leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.63 after halftime.

When the teams score

Larne's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Bangor, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NIFL Premiership games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Larne displays decisive dominance as the host, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 75% wins and 83% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts have scored as many as 41 goals this season, conceding just 10, resulting in a +21 goal difference in home matches. Bangor, on the other hand, fares much worse on the road, where they lose half of their matches (50%), earning only 1.2 points per match and keeping just 10% clean sheets. The form of both teams also favors Larne – the hosts are unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while Bangor has lost three of their last five games. The difference in offensive quality (1.92 vs 1.2 goals per match) and defense (0.17 vs 1.8 goals conceded) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

64Possession (%)36
LarneBangor
27Shots2
LarneBangor
12Shots on target1
LarneBangor
3.18xG0.43
LarneBangor
4Corners0
LarneBangor
90Dangerous attacks30
LarneBangor
8Fouls6
LarneBangor
1Cards4
LarneBangor

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.71Goals scored / game1.21
LarneBangor
0.42Goals allowed / game1.54
LarneBangor
53%Average possession41%
LarneBangor
4.67Shots on target / game3.75
LarneBangor

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.58Shots per game8.92
LarneBangor
4.67Shots on target3.75
LarneBangor
13.6%Shot conversion13.6%
LarneBangor
53%Possession41%
LarneBangor
1.56xG for1.23
LarneBangor
1.04xG against1.52
LarneBangor

Shooting quality

Larne: Efficient finishingBangor: Counter-attacking
LarneBangor
Accuracy (shots on target)37%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Larne is 57% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Larne · 1.4 pts / game - Bangor

Larne
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
71% W21% D8% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-5-2
2.33 pts / game · goal difference +31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-3-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Bangor
DLWLW
Season result split
38% W17% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-11
1.29 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 41% better for: goals scored per game.

1.71 goals / game - Larne · 1.21 goals / game - Bangor

Larne is 267% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.42 goals / game - Larne · 1.54 goals / game - Bangor

Larne scoring profile: very strong

Larne scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while Bangor keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 meczów).

Bangor scoring profile: mixed

Bangor scores in 67% of games (16 of 24 meczów), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 63% (15 of 24 meczów).

41Goals scored (season)29
LarneBangor
10Goals conceded (season)37
LarneBangor
2.13Average goals per game2.75
LarneBangor
9Goals scored (last 5)5
LarneBangor
2Goals conceded (last 5)8
LarneBangor

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal67%
LarneBangor
58%2 goals38%
LarneBangor
21%3 goals13%
LarneBangor
13%4 goals4%
LarneBangor

How often they concede at least...

38%1 goal88%
LarneBangor
4%2 goals29%
LarneBangor
0%3 goals21%
LarneBangor
0%4 goals8%
LarneBangor

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time21%
LarneBangor
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LarneBangor
25%Scored in both halves25%
LarneBangor

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
LarneBangor
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
LarneBangor
40%BTTS - last 540%
LarneBangor

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
LarneBangor
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
LarneBangor
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
LarneBangor

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
LarneBangor
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
LarneBangor
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
LarneBangor

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.71 pts / game - Larne · 1.33 pts / game - Bangor

Larne - half-time state
42% leading46% draw13% trailing
Bangor - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.71Points per game (1st half)1.33
LarneBangor
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.58
LarneBangor
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
LarneBangor
0.92Average goals (1st half)1.29
LarneBangor
79%Clean sheet before half-time50%
LarneBangor
54%No goal before half-time54%
LarneBangor

After half-time (2nd half)

2.04Points per game (2nd half)1.17
LarneBangor
1.04Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
LarneBangor
0.17Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
LarneBangor
1.21Average goals (2nd half)1.46
LarneBangor
83%Clean sheet after half-time42%
LarneBangor
42%No goal after half-time54%
LarneBangor

Larne - second-half results

58% W29% D13% L
41
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+21
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding169%

Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bangor - second-half results

29% W29% D42% L
32
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Larne - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.20
Goals scored / game0.41.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Bangor - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.21.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Larne
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
4
3
16-30
7
2
31-45
9
2
46-60
3
0
61-75
13
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

Bangor
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
1
6
16-30
10
4
31-45
5
7
46-60
5
6
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
33%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Bangor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LarneLigaBangor
Average goals per game 2.132.77 2.75
Both teams scored 29%49% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%52% 50%
Clean sheets 63%28% 13%
Goal before half-time 58%74% 75%
Goal after half-time 71%77% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.77
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / game
1.26
Away goals / game
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LarneGoalAndrew RyanAssist: Aaron Donnelly
  2. LarneGoalAndrew RyanAssist: Tomas Cosgrove
  3. BangorYellow cardLewis Harrison
  4. BangorGoalBen Cushnie
  5. BangorYellow cardLewis Harrison
  6. LarneSubstitutionOn: James SimpsonOff: Tiarnan O'Connor
  7. BangorYellow cardStephen McGuinness
  8. BangorYellow cardJay Boyd
  9. LarneYellow cardAaron Donnelly

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Mark DillonMatches officiated: 8
4.25Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins0%Draws50%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Larne's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Bangor. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Larne FC
1 : 1
Bangor FC
Bangor FC
0 : 2
Larne FC

FAQ

What was the result of Larne vs Bangor?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 2:1 Bangor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Bangor?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Larne won 1, Bangor won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Bangor?

Larne score 1.71 goals per game on average and Bangor 1.21. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Larne's matches and 54% of Bangor's.

What form are Larne and Bangor in?

Over the last 5 games Larne have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bangor 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Bangor?

The statistical background for Larne vs Bangor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.