Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipData current as of 22 July 2026

Larne vs Bangor: match statistics

Larne crest
Larne
2 : 1half-time 2:0
Bangor crest
Bangor
175%(1.36)
X15%(4.75)
210%(6.75)

Larne displays decisive dominance as the host, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 75% wins and 83% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts have scored as many as 41 goals this season, conceding just 10, resulting in a +21 goal difference in home matches. Bangor, on the other hand, fares much worse on the road, where they lose half of their matches (50%), earning only 1.2 points per match and keeping just 10% clean sheets. The form of both teams also favors Larne – the hosts are unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while Bangor has lost three of their last five games. The difference in offensive quality (1.92 vs 1.2 goals per match) and defense (0.17 vs 1.8 goals conceded) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts.

Larne vs Bangor: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Larne play Bangor in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 23 January 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Larne: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bangor: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Larne scores 1.92 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Bangor scores 1.08 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Larne 39%, Bangor 55%. Over 2.5: Larne 47%, Bangor 53%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Larne has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.12. Larne: 12.4 shots per match, Bangor: 8.3.

Match halves

Larne: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.05. Bangor: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.55.

Goals by minute

Larne: 76-90+ (20 goals). Bangor: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Match description

Larne displays decisive dominance as the host, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 75% wins and 83% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts have scored as many as 41 goals this season, conceding just 10, resulting in a +21 goal difference in home matches. Bangor, on the other hand, fares much worse on the road, where they lose half of their matches (50%), earning only 1.2 points per match and keeping just 10% clean sheets. The form of both teams also favors Larne – the hosts are unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while Bangor has lost three of their last five games. The difference in offensive quality (1.92 vs 1.2 goals per match) and defense (0.17 vs 1.8 goals conceded) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
LarneBangor
27Shots2
LarneBangor
12Shots on target1
LarneBangor
3.18xG0.43
LarneBangor
4Corners0
LarneBangor
90Dangerous attacks30
LarneBangor
8Fouls6
LarneBangor
1Cards4
LarneBangor

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.92Goals scored / match1.08
LarneBangor
0.68Goals conceded / match1.71
LarneBangor
52%Average possession41%
LarneBangor
5.13Shots on target / match3.24
LarneBangor

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.39Shots per match8.26
LarneBangor
5.13Shots on target3.24
LarneBangor
15.5%Shot conversion13.1%
LarneBangor
52%Possession41%
LarneBangor
1.56xG for1.12
LarneBangor
1.1xG against1.6
LarneBangor

Shooting quality

Larne: Efficient finishingBangor: Counter-attacking
LarneBangor
Accuracy (shots on target)41%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larne is 233% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Larne · 0.6 pts / match - Bangor

Larne
WLWDW
Season result split
66% W21% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-8-5
2.18 pts / match · goal difference +47
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-5-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Bangor
DDDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
26% W24% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-19
1.03 pts / match · goal difference -24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-6-8
Last 5 away
1-4-0
DDWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.80Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 78% better for: goals scored per match.

1.92 goals / match - Larne · 1.08 goals / match - Bangor

Larne is 151% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.68 goals / match - Larne · 1.71 goals / match - Bangor

Larne scoring profile: very strong

Larne scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Bangor keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).

Bangor scoring profile: mixed

Bangor scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).

73Goals scored (season)41
LarneBangor
26Goals conceded (season)65
LarneBangor
2.61Average goals in match2.79
LarneBangor
13Goals scored (last 5)3
LarneBangor
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
LarneBangor

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal66%
LarneBangor
63%2 goals32%
LarneBangor
21%3 goals8%
LarneBangor
13%4 goals3%
LarneBangor

How often they concede at least...

45%1 goal84%
LarneBangor
16%2 goals42%
LarneBangor
5%3 goals29%
LarneBangor
3%4 goals11%
LarneBangor

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time21%
LarneBangor
5%BTTS in both halves5%
LarneBangor
29%Scored in both halves24%
LarneBangor

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
LarneBangor
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
LarneBangor
20%BTTS - last 540%
LarneBangor

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
LarneBangor
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
LarneBangor
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
LarneBangor

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
LarneBangor
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
LarneBangor
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
LarneBangor

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.82 pts / match - Larne · 1.16 pts / match - Bangor

Larne - half-time state
47% leading39% draw13% trailing
Bangor - half-time state
29% leading29% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.82Points per match (1st half)1.16
LarneBangor
0.87Goals scored (1st half)0.53
LarneBangor
0.37Goals conceded (1st half)0.84
LarneBangor
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.37
LarneBangor
74%Clean sheet before half-time45%
LarneBangor
42%No goal before half-time55%
LarneBangor

After half-time (2nd half)

1.87Points per match (2nd half)0.97
LarneBangor
1.05Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
LarneBangor
0.32Goals conceded (2nd half)0.87
LarneBangor
1.37Average goals (2nd half)1.42
LarneBangor
74%Clean sheet after half-time42%
LarneBangor
45%No goal after half-time55%
LarneBangor

Larne - second-half results

53% W29% R18% P
69
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
71
Second-half points
+28
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bangor - second-half results

21% W34% R45% P
44
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Larne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Bangor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Larne
ScoredConceded
9
2
0-15
12
5
16-30
12
7
31-45
12
7
46-60
8
1
61-75
20
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.

Bangor
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
4
10
16-30
12
13
31-45
9
9
46-60
5
10
61-75
7
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Bangor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LarneLigaBangor
Average goals in match 2.612.94 2.79
Both teams scored 39%52% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%56% 53%
Clean sheets 55%26% 16%
Goal before half-time 68%76% 79%
Goal after half-time 74%80% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Larne 1 - 1 - 0 Bangor. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Larne FC
1 : 1
Bangor FC
Bangor FC
0 : 2
Larne FC

FAQ

What was the result of Larne vs Bangor?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 2:1 Bangor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Bangor?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Larne won 1, Bangor won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Bangor?

Larne score 1.92 goals per game on average and Bangor 1.08. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Larne's matches and 55% of Bangor's.

What form are Larne and Bangor in?

Over the last 5 games Larne have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bangor 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Bangor?

The statistical background for Larne vs Bangor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.