Larne vs Carrick Rangers: match statistics
Larne are displaying dominant form at home, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 71% home wins and 71% clean sheets. The hosts have not lost a single home match this season, scoring an average of 1.93 goals while conceding just 0.36 per game. Carrick Rangers, despite decent form in their last five matches, show clear weaknesses in away games with a 38% loss rate and an average of 1.46 goals conceded per match. The difference in possession quality (57% vs 41%) and attacking efficiency (xG 1.8 vs 1.41) further favours the hosts. Considering Larne's flawless home run and their +22 home goal difference compared to Carrick's mere +2 away, a convincing home win is the most likely scenario.
Larne vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Larne played against Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on February 20, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Larne has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Carrick Rangers has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Larne scores 1.79 goals per game and allows 0.61. Carrick Rangers scores 1.50 and allows 1.61. Games in this league average 2.87 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Larne's games and 64% of Carrick Rangers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 61%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Larne has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.35 per game. Larne takes 13.2 shots per game, while Carrick Rangers takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Larne leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Carrick Rangers leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
Larne's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For Carrick Rangers, it is minutes 31-45+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.87 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne are displaying dominant form at home, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 71% home wins and 71% clean sheets. The hosts have not lost a single home match this season, scoring an average of 1.93 goals while conceding just 0.36 per game. Carrick Rangers, despite decent form in their last five matches, show clear weaknesses in away games with a 38% loss rate and an average of 1.46 goals conceded per match. The difference in possession quality (57% vs 41%) and attacking efficiency (xG 1.8 vs 1.41) further favors the hosts. Considering Larne's flawless home run and their +22 home goal difference compared to Carrick's mere +2 away, a convincing home win is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Carrick Rangers is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Larne · 2.6 pts / game - Carrick Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.79 goals / game - Larne · 1.5 goals / game - Carrick Rangers
Larne is 164% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.61 goals / game - Larne · 1.61 goals / game - Carrick Rangers
Larne scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 meczów), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 meczów).
Carrick Rangers scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 meczów), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 54% (15 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larne
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / game - Larne · 1.43 pts / game - Carrick Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 68%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +9 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Larne
Carrick Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.39 | 2.87 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 51% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 54% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Larne's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Carrick Rangers. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 2:3 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Carrick Rangers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Larne won 2, Carrick Rangers won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
Larne score 1.79 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.50. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Larne's matches and 64% of Carrick Rangers's.
What form are Larne and Carrick Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Larne vs Carrick Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.