Larne vs Dungannon Swifts: match statistics
Larne is the clear favorite in this matchup, sitting at the top of the table and presenting impressive home form with a 63% win rate and just a 6% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts boast excellent defensive efficiency at home, conceding an average of merely 0.56 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 63% of their home fixtures. Dungannon Swifts show very poor away form with a 60% loss rate and a negative goal difference of -18, conceding a massive 2.07 goals per away match. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 47% of their road games, which, coupled with Larne's solid defense, significantly reduces their chances of picking up points. All key statistics, including ball possession advantage (57% vs 52%), shot efficiency, and xG metrics, point towards a confident victory for the hosts.
Larne vs Dungannon Swifts: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Larne played against Dungannon Swifts in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on March 13, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Larne has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Dungannon Swifts has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Larne scores 1.77 goals per game and allows 0.68. Dungannon Swifts scores 1.26 and allows 1.77. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Larne's games and 39% of Dungannon Swifts's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 52%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Larne has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.52 per game. Larne takes 12.9 shots per game, while Dungannon Swifts takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Larne leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 0.97 goals per game after halftime. Dungannon Swifts leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Larne's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). For Dungannon Swifts, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne is the clear favorite in this matchup, sitting at the top of the table and presenting impressive home form with a 63% win rate and just a 6% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts boast excellent defensive efficiency at home, conceding an average of merely 0.56 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 63% of their home fixtures. Dungannon Swifts show very poor away form with a 60% loss rate and a negative goal difference of -18, conceding a massive 2.07 goals per away match. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in 47% of their road games, which, coupled with Larne's solid defense, significantly reduces their chances of picking up points. All key statistics, including ball possession advantage (57% vs 52%), shot efficiency, and xG metrics, point towards a confident victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Dungannon Swifts is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Larne · 1.2 pts / game - Dungannon Swifts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.77 goals / game - Larne · 1.26 goals / game - Dungannon Swifts
Larne is 160% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.68 goals / game - Larne · 1.77 goals / game - Dungannon Swifts
Larne scores in 84% of games (26 of 31 meczów), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 meczów).
Dungannon Swifts scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 meczów), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 52% (16 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larne
Over / Under - Dungannon Swifts
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.74 pts / game - Larne · 1.19 pts / game - Dungannon Swifts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 65%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -8 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Larne
Dungannon Swifts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.45 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Larne's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Dungannon Swifts. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 2:1 Dungannon Swifts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Dungannon Swifts?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Larne won 1, Dungannon Swifts won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Larne score 1.77 goals per game on average and Dungannon Swifts 1.26. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Larne's matches and 39% of Dungannon Swifts's.
What form are Larne and Dungannon Swifts in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Dungannon Swifts 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.