Larne vs Glenavon: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Larne play Glenavon in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 21 November 2025 at 21:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Larne: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Glenavon: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Larne scores 1.92 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Glenavon scores 0.97 and concedes 1.82. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Larne 39%, Glenavon 50%. Over 2.5: Larne 47%, Glenavon 58%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Larne has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.21. Larne: 12.4 shots per match, Glenavon: 9.0.

Match halves

Larne: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.05. Glenavon: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.58.

Goals by minute

Larne: 76-90+ (20 goals). Glenavon: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

62Possession (%)38
LarneGlenavon
23Shots9
LarneGlenavon
7Shots on target3
LarneGlenavon
2.4xG1.01
LarneGlenavon
9Corners4
LarneGlenavon
64Dangerous attacks31
LarneGlenavon
15Fouls9
LarneGlenavon
5Cards2
LarneGlenavon

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.92Goals scored / match0.97
LarneGlenavon
0.68Goals conceded / match1.82
LarneGlenavon
52%Average possession48%
LarneGlenavon
5.13Shots on target / match3.24
LarneGlenavon

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.39Shots per match9
LarneGlenavon
5.13Shots on target3.24
LarneGlenavon
15.5%Shot conversion10.8%
LarneGlenavon
52%Possession48%
LarneGlenavon
1.56xG for1.21
LarneGlenavon
1.1xG against1.53
LarneGlenavon

Shooting quality

Larne: Efficient finishingGlenavon: Balanced
LarneGlenavon
Accuracy (shots on target)41%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larne is 233% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Larne · 0.6 pts / match - Glenavon

Larne
WLWDW
Season result split
66% W21% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-8-5
2.18 pts / match · goal difference +47
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-5-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Glenavon
DDDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
21% W11% R68% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-26
0.74 pts / match · goal difference -32
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-14
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WDWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 98% better for: goals scored per match.

1.92 goals / match - Larne · 0.97 goals / match - Glenavon

Larne is 168% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.68 goals / match - Larne · 1.82 goals / match - Glenavon

Larne scoring profile: very strong

Larne scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Glenavon keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 38 matches).

Glenavon scoring profile: mixed

Glenavon scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).

73Goals scored (season)37
LarneGlenavon
26Goals conceded (season)69
LarneGlenavon
2.61Average goals in match2.79
LarneGlenavon
13Goals scored (last 5)4
LarneGlenavon
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
LarneGlenavon

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal58%
LarneGlenavon
63%2 goals26%
LarneGlenavon
21%3 goals13%
LarneGlenavon
13%4 goals0%
LarneGlenavon

How often they concede at least...

45%1 goal89%
LarneGlenavon
16%2 goals55%
LarneGlenavon
5%3 goals24%
LarneGlenavon
3%4 goals8%
LarneGlenavon

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time13%
LarneGlenavon
5%BTTS in both halves3%
LarneGlenavon
29%Scored in both halves18%
LarneGlenavon

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
LarneGlenavon
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
LarneGlenavon
20%BTTS - last 560%
LarneGlenavon

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
LarneGlenavon
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
LarneGlenavon
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
LarneGlenavon

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
LarneGlenavon
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
LarneGlenavon
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
LarneGlenavon

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne is 122% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.82 pts / match - Larne · 0.82 pts / match - Glenavon

Larne - half-time state
47% leading39% draw13% trailing
Glenavon - half-time state
18% leading26% draw55% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.82Points per match (1st half)0.82
LarneGlenavon
0.87Goals scored (1st half)0.39
LarneGlenavon
0.37Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
LarneGlenavon
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.18
LarneGlenavon
74%Clean sheet before half-time37%
LarneGlenavon
42%No goal before half-time68%
LarneGlenavon

After half-time (2nd half)

1.87Points per match (2nd half)1
LarneGlenavon
1.05Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
LarneGlenavon
0.32Goals conceded (2nd half)1.03
LarneGlenavon
1.37Average goals (2nd half)1.61
LarneGlenavon
74%Clean sheet after half-time37%
LarneGlenavon
45%No goal after half-time55%
LarneGlenavon

Larne - second-half results

53% W29% R18% P
69
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
71
Second-half points
+28
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Glenavon - second-half results

24% W29% R47% P
31
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Larne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Glenavon - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Larne
ScoredConceded
9
2
0-15
12
5
16-30
12
7
31-45
12
7
46-60
8
1
61-75
20
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.

Glenavon
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
4
16-30
6
19
31-45
4
9
46-60
10
11
61-75
8
19
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Glenavon

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LarneLigaGlenavon
Average goals in match 2.612.94 2.79
Both teams scored 39%52% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%56% 58%
Clean sheets 55%26% 11%
Goal before half-time 68%76% 82%
Goal after half-time 74%80% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Larne 2 - 0 - 0 Glenavon. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Glenavon FC
0 : 3
Larne FC
Larne FC
1 : 0
Glenavon FC

FAQ

What was the result of Larne vs Glenavon?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 2:1 Glenavon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Glenavon?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Larne won 2, Glenavon won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Glenavon?

Larne score 1.92 goals per game on average and Glenavon 0.97. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Larne's matches and 50% of Glenavon's.

What form are Larne and Glenavon in?

Over the last 5 games Larne have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Glenavon 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Glenavon?

The statistical background for Larne vs Glenavon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.