Larne vs Linfield: match statistics
Larne, as the table leader, presents impressive home form with 67% of matches won at home and only 7% losses. The hosts score an average of 1.93 goals in home matches while conceding only 0.53, resulting in a +21 goal difference. Linfield, despite good recent form (4 wins in 5 matches), performs significantly worse away – just 36% wins and as many as 36% matches without scoring a goal. Larne's advantage in possession (58% vs 54%), shooting efficiency, and xG balance (1.81 vs 1.53) speaks for the hosts. Considering Larne's defensive solidity at home (67% clean sheets) and Linfield's issues with efficiency away, I expect a victory for the hosts, although Linfield as the third team in the league may put up resistance, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
Larne vs Linfield: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Larne played against Linfield in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on February 24, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Larne has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Linfield has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Larne scores 1.79 goals per game and allows 0.69. Linfield scores 1.79 and allows 0.62. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Larne's games and 34% of Linfield's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 48%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Larne has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.60 per game. Larne takes 13.3 shots per game, while Linfield takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Larne leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 1.03 goals per game after halftime. Linfield leads at halftime in 45% and scores 1.14 after halftime.
When the teams score
Larne's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). For Linfield, it is minutes 61-75 (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne, as the table leader, presents impressive home form with 67% of matches won at home and only 7% losses. The hosts score an average of 1.93 goals in home matches while conceding only 0.53, resulting in a +21 goal difference. Linfield, despite good recent form (4 wins in 5 matches), performs significantly worse away – just 36% wins and as many as 36% matches without scoring a goal. Larne's advantage in possession (58% vs 54%), shooting efficiency, and xG balance (1.81 vs 1.53) speaks for the hosts. Considering Larne's defensive solidity at home (67% clean sheets) and Linfield's issues with efficiency away, I expect a victory for the hosts, although Linfield as the third team in the league may put up resistance, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Larne | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Linfield is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Larne · 3 pts / game - Linfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Linfield is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.69 goals / game - Larne · 0.62 goals / game - Linfield
Larne scores in 83% of games (24 of 29 meczów), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 55% (16 of 29 meczów).
Linfield scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Larne
Over / Under - Linfield
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Linfield is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.66 pts / game - Larne · 1.79 pts / game - Linfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Larne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 66%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Linfield - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +10 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Larne
Linfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Larne | Liga | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.48 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 26% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 77% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Larne's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Linfield. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Larne vs Linfield?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Larne 1:1 Linfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Linfield?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Larne won 0, Linfield won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Larne vs Linfield?
Larne score 1.79 goals per game on average and Linfield 1.79. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Larne's matches and 34% of Linfield's.
What form are Larne and Linfield in?
Over the last 5 games Larne have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Linfield 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Larne vs Linfield?
The statistical background for Larne vs Linfield — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.